It's that time. Get ready. Sharp football in a house making chatty. Let's go. I am very excited. Warren Sharp is here. We are looking like true detective.

We're looking like CSI Charleston, South Carolina. He's got a blue steel jacket with a floral print shirt. I'm wearing what looks to be a salmon slash fuchsia crew neck sweater. And all we have

salmon is information and bombs. I love when you're in studio because I get to get a coffee with you. We do this show. We record it Thursdays around like 11 11 30. I find this to always been

interesting time because the markets move a lot at this time. It seems like what is it about this time that there's always action. Well, you got the Wednesday injury reports. The first one that hits the

market. So that comes like late in the day on Wednesday. Right. And then 8 a.m. Vegas time is 11 a.m. East Coast time. So right around this point in time, everybody's got the injury stuff that has come out. Right. Wednesday starts to process it limits rise a little bit on Thursday. Oh, why does that happen? The closer they get to the game, the more they allow you to bet because the more confidence they have in their number. So they hate taking action when they don't have a lot of confidence in their number. Right. Because in there in the dark and there.

Most likely to have more information than the average better and they know like people like me and others like this is all we do is just research this. So there's no way that a bookmaker can have more information better information than I do. Right.

Why they make the limits really small early in the week. And as they get more confidence and they see some of the sharp guys betting into some of those numbers. Then they're like, okay, we'll adjust it now. Then we'll raise the limit.

Makes sense. You know, the lines already adjusted and you can't hammer us that hard. They are very professional with this. Yep. My watermelon head ass. Man, that was the best insult I've gotten in a long time.

And the best response. Thanks, bro. Well, listen, man. What's really unfortunate is I went home on my fiance was laughing. And I said, why are you laughing? She goes, because you kind of got a watermelon head ass. And I was like, damn. But I don't even know what that means. But neither do I. I went one in four last week, Warren.

And to me, to be up 52 to, what was it? 52 to 12 or something like that in the second quarter. It was my first lose in week. And I just realized that I started betting on some teams that I don't want to bet on the Titans games.

Why am I betting on the Browns? I bet on the Washington football team. And you just you look at it and you go, there are so many games out there. Why did I pick them? The only thing I'm happy about.

I didn't bet against the Saints and my fears came true. Fourth week in a row. They're incredible. I mean, good teams, good teams win great teams cover. And they're wild. It's crazy.

I mean, their defense is so much better than what I have forecasted. Yeah.

They're, they're really a force to be reckoned with on that side of the football. And, you know, Teddy Bridgewater was not that great at all.

Complets passes when they have to be completed. I still don't understand how a decordinator can't just say, we're going to double Michael Thomas, take him away from Teddy. You beat us with all your other guys. We don't care. I mean, Kamara wasn't even there.

But, you know, uh, John Patons, you really smart coach and their defense is playing lights out.

Good offense of coordinators can move around their weapons. Kyle did it with Julio when he was there. Sean does it with Michael Thomas. You find ways.

Really good show today. We're going to get to the dumbest number that NFL head coaches believe the dumbest rule that Warren hears about that makes us go crazy.

We're going to talk about everybody has that analytic stat that you think, oh, this is the one that's indicated indicative of games.

We're going to talk a little bit about correlation versus causation. Uh, we're going to get back into EDSR because Warren at the end of the show. I went back and looked.

Kiva's four games where there was an EDSR advantage and all four of those teams won. It's why I know I don't want to get too excited about stats.

I'm going to talk about how some of them are dumb, but that's one that we've shown works. And then we're going to dive into schedules.

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