3.8 • 950 Ratings
🗓️ 3 August 2025
⏱️ 6 minutes
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0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street brunch, our Sunday look ahead to this week's |
0:09.9 | market-moving events, along with the weekend's top news and analysis. |
0:14.1 | Hello, today is Sunday, August 3rd, and I'm your host, Kim Kahn. Wall Street faces a big |
0:18.7 | and unexpected test this week. Can the markets trust data from the |
0:22.1 | Bureau of Labor Statistics? President Donald Trump fired BLS Commissioner Erica McIntarfer in the wake of |
0:27.9 | week-July payrolls and major downward revisions to previous months, claiming she had been rigging the |
0:32.8 | numbers. Let's assume the accusations of rigging are hyperbole and don't require an independent |
0:37.3 | counsel investigation, a cessation of all data collection currently, and an eventual |
0:41.7 | restatement of every data point going back to January 2024. |
0:45.8 | Acting Commissioner William Wiatrowski will still have a job convincing financial markets |
0:50.0 | across the globe that the future figures aren't affected by White House pressure. |
0:54.8 | I think it's clearly a worrying development, and it's a sort of thing you'd expect to see in a banana republic, |
0:59.0 | not in the USA, Pepperstone strategist Michael Brown told seeking alpha. Naturally, it raises questions |
1:04.3 | over how reliable the data will be going forwards, especially as it seems one's head is now |
1:08.6 | on the chopping block if you present information that Trump doesn't want to see. |
1:12.7 | And it's not just the jobs report. The BLS also calculates the CPI. That's both sides of the Fed's mandate hanging in the balance. |
1:20.3 | The first test will come on Thursday when Q2 productivity and unit labor cost figures arrive, along with weekly jobless claims. |
1:27.9 | I'd like to hope that the BLS are still able to produce the accurate statistics they are known for, |
1:32.4 | and the market will still react to the data in any case, Brown said. |
1:36.1 | The bigger worry is the precedent this sets for other institutions, such as the Fed, |
1:40.2 | and whether Trump now rams up his attacks on Powell and Company once more. |
1:43.9 | If so, that's naturally going to be a headwin for stocks, |
... |
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