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The Indicator from Planet Money

Wait β€” did we really need to raise rates?

The Indicator from Planet Money

NPR

Business

4.7 β€’ 9.2K Ratings

πŸ—“οΈ 15 September 2023

⏱️ 10 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Inflation remains stubbornly high as the Federal Open Markets Committee weighs whether they will raise interest rates again. However, new research suggests that elevated interest rates weren't the primary driver for the decline in inflation. Today, we take a look at the debate surrounding disinflation and what comes next for the Federal Reserve.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

NPR.

0:12.0

This is the Integrated from Planet Money.

0:13.5

I'm Darien Woods.

0:14.5

And I'm Patty Hirsch.

0:15.6

Inflation is behaving like a stubborn cartoon donkey right now, digging its hooves in and

0:20.8

refusing to budge.

0:22.2

We heard yesterday that consumer prices rose a little compared to last month, which means

0:26.2

if anything, the donkey's getting one over on its owner, pulling us a wee bit off

0:29.8

balance.

0:30.8

And meanwhile, the Federal Open Market Committee is getting ready to make a decision on whether

0:35.5

or not to raise rates again, and the economics world is abuzz with the opinion on this matter.

0:41.1

Yes, some say the Fed needs to keep paying attention to the demand side of the economics

0:45.3

equation, and that its aggressive rate increases have done a good job of taking the heat out

0:49.6

of the economy so far.

0:51.3

But there's a growing chorus of opinion that it's not the demand side of things that's been

0:55.6

driving the fall in inflation.

0:57.3

The Roosevelt Institute released a piece of research last week with the provocative

1:00.6

headline, Supply Side Expansion has driven the decline in inflation.

1:04.7

What does that mean?

1:05.7

Yes, it's a very catchy and a translation of this is that it's not the rising interest

1:09.8

rates that's been bringing inflation lower, it's just improved levels of supply.

1:14.7

What?

...

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