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Money For the Rest of Us

Unlocking the Power of Positive Skewness: Strategies for Investing, Business, and Creativity

Money For the Rest of Us

J. David Stein

Economy, Economics, Investing Podcast, Business, Investing

4.3 • 1.3K Ratings

🗓️ 12 June 2024

⏱️ 31 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

How a few high-impact successes drive up overall average outcomes in investing, business, and creative projects. How to harness positive skewness using a barbell approach. Learn when to mitigate risks and when to embrace them.

Topics covered include:

  • What is positive skewness and how does it manifest in investing, business and creative endeavors
  • How power laws and the 80/20 rule work
  • Why we shouldn't beat ourselves up if we aren't incredibly successful
  • When should we reduce positive skewness and when should we embrace it


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Show Notes

Long-Term Shareholder Returns: Evidence from 64,000 Global Stocks by Hendrik Bessembinder, Te-Feng Chen, Goeun Choi, K.C. John Wei—SSRN

Long-Horizon Stock Returns Are Positively Skewed by Adam Farago and Erik Hjalmarsson—SSRN

Wealth Creation in the U.S. Public Stock Markets 1926 to 2019 by Hendrik Bessembinder—SSRN

The Coffee Can portfolio by Robert G. Kirby—csinvesting

Active vs Passive Investing U.S. Barometer Report—Morningstar

Table 7. Survival of private sector establishments by opening year—U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

How Many Podcasts Are There? (New 2024 Data) by Josh Howarth—Exploding Topics

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Money for the rest of us. This is a personal finance show on money, how it works, how to invest it, and how to live without worrying about it.

0:10.0

I'm your host David Stein. Today is episode 482. It's titled

0:14.7

Unlocking the Power of Positive Stewness, Strategies for Investing Business and

0:21.2

Creativity. I recently came upon several business and creativity.

0:23.0

I recently came upon several really fascinating studies on the long-term performance of the stock market.

0:31.0

The first study was by Hendrik Bessambinder and his co-authors and the second

0:36.6

study was just by Hendrik Bessambinder who is a professor of finance at Arizona State University.

0:44.8

In the first study, they looked at the long-term returns

0:50.0

of 64,000 global common stocks going from January 1990 to December 2020.

0:58.0

They found that 55% of US stocks and 57% of U.S. stocks and 57% of non-U.S. stocks underperformed one month U.S. Treasury bills.

1:10.0

In other words, their compound return of the majority of stocks didn't even beat cash.

1:16.5

Further, they found that in the US, only 2.4% of the firms contributed to the $76 trillion of global stock market wealth creation.

1:32.3

Outside of the US, 1.4% of the firms contributed

1:36.3

to the 30 trillion dollars in net wealth creation. Only a tiny percent of the stocks generated the vast majority of the wealth.

1:47.0

It's even more narrower than that.

1:49.0

Five firms.

1:51.0

0.008 percent of the total accounted for 10% of global net wealth creation. That was Apple,

1:59.5

Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and cents. 159 firms.

2:04.8

0.25% of the total accounted for half the global net wealth creation.

2:10.5

Now that's the first study.

2:11.9

The second study went for a longer time period. It was just focused on US public stocks from

2:19.0

1926 to 2019. Bessin Binder looked at 26,000 firms and found that only 42% of the firms created

...

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