Uncertainty, probability and double yoked eggs
More or Less: Behind the Stats
BBC
4.6 • 3.5K Ratings
🗓️ 12 October 2024
⏱️ 10 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter is one of the great communicators of probability and uncertainty.
His new book, The Art of Uncertainty, explains how to approach uncertainty, luck, probability and ignorance.
Tim Harford talks to Sir David about double yoked eggs, the Bay of Pigs, and his top tips for politicians who want to communicate evidence and uncertainty. Presenter: Tim Harford Series producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Katie Morrison Sound mix: John Scott Editor: Richard Vadon
Transcript
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| 0:32.0 | Evil genius listen on BBC sounds. Evil Genius. |
| 0:33.0 | Listen on BBC Sounds. |
| 0:35.0 | Thank you for downloading the more or less podcast. |
| 0:38.0 | We are a weekly guide to the numbers in the news and in life, and I'm Tim Harford. |
| 0:43.0 | Uncertainty, we all have to live with it and if we're nerds we all try to put numbers on it. |
| 0:51.0 | Sometimes uncertainty feels like a science and sometimes it's more of an art. And the |
| 0:58.0 | art of uncertainty is the title of a new book by friend of the program, Professor Sir David Spiegelholter. |
| 1:04.0 | I sat down with him to discuss his work. |
| 1:07.0 | I am Professor Sir David Spiegelholter, |
| 1:12.0 | I'm Emeritus Professor of Statistics at the University of Cambridge. |
| 1:17.0 | And you have a new book out with a double-yoked egg on the front cover. |
| 1:22.0 | Does the double-oaked egg have the front cover. Does the double yoked egg have a particular |
| 1:24.1 | significance? Yeah, yeah, no, it's because you know part of the book is about |
| 1:29.0 | coincidences that people get interested in and one of the ones that appears kind of fairly regularly in the media is someone buying a box of |
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