#Ukraine: Moscow POV: casualties. Professor H.J. Mackinder, International Relations. #FriendsofHistoryDebatingSociety
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
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🗓️ 19 February 2023
⏱️ 9 minutes
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#Ukraine: Moscow POV: casualties. Professor H.J. Mackinder, International Relations. #FriendsofHistoryDebatingSociety
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| 0:00.0 | This is BBC reporting. Russia's death toll from Ukraine war is as high. |
| 0:06.0 | No, it's the Wall Street Journal going to do it. This is the Wall Street Journal reporting. |
| 0:10.0 | Russia's death toll from the war in Ukraine has reached as high as 60,000, according to the United Kingdom. |
| 0:17.0 | In the daily intelligence briefing in these last days, the UK's Defense Ministry said the Russian armed forces and private military contractors fighting alongside them as paramilitary forces had lost 40 to 60,000 |
| 0:29.0 | killed and suffered up to 200,000 casualties. That's the news we have right now, the best estimate out of London. |
| 0:38.0 | Professor Moskowski pointed view after these losses. Thank you. |
| 0:43.0 | Last week we talked about an upcoming Russian offensive. That's still the thing that we should keep our eyes on. |
| 0:55.0 | At the time you sketched out a scenario in which there were going to be two east to west pincere movements in Ukraine proper one to the very far north and one to the very far south. |
| 1:12.0 | That would move nearly more than 500 miles from the Donbass area where they would base out of well into beyond Kiev on the western side. |
| 1:29.0 | 500 miles. These would be two little, not little, maybe two blitzkriegs side by side. |
| 1:37.0 | What are we seeing? We haven't seen anything like that, although perhaps after Mr. Putin speaks on Tuesday, they will unleash it. |
| 1:50.0 | But what we're seeing right now are human wave attacks that box-moves which is becoming the kind of many very done of this particular war. |
| 2:02.0 | And the humiliating Russian loss at Full of Dark, which was extremely bloody. |
| 2:10.0 | You mentioned the, that's not, neither of those is remotely a blitzkrieg. |
| 2:16.0 | That's just bashing, bashing war of attritional, static, casualty intensive. |
| 2:29.0 | You mentioned the losses of men, the international institute of strategic studies, things Russia's lost between over 2000 tanks in Ukraine already, which is more than half of their pre-war stock of T-72s and T-80s. |
| 2:46.0 | And that they are not able to produce anymore. They're not able to produce tanks at a rapid enough rate. That was confirmed by a story about one of the London telegraphed top reporters about the Ural Vaganslavod factory, tank factory in western Siberia, which was where a lot of the tanks, those that didn't come from the United States, |
| 3:14.0 | that were used to defeat the Germans were created. But attempt to build a second production line there, have failed. |
| 3:24.0 | They don't have, it's not just that they don't have the machine tools and all the rest, they don't have the raw materials, they also don't have the workers, something like 700,000 field workers that have emigrated from Russia. |
| 3:39.0 | So we can't expect the kind of reconstitution that took place in World War II in this war. And I don't think we can expect, therefore we can't expect in the split-screeke wedges of tanks cutting like the hot-nice or butter cutting through the Ukrainian lines, rather as the British tanks, which were then being used as a test for the first time. |
| 4:08.0 | Cut through the German lines of the Battle of Combrie in November, December, 1917. And it's interesting that in both cases, the British failed at Combrie because they had no follow-up reserves. |
| 4:25.0 | They cut this great hole of the German line and they had no reason to go through it. They had some cavalry troops, you know, 10 miles behind, but they had nothing to follow up in the Russians. |
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