Welcome to another edition of the Doggrapass podcast. This for UFC Vegas 6. I'm Paul Shaunessy. We got Pat Mayo behind the sticks here and Cody Saftick joining us from his looks like a very, very comfortable brown coach.

Cody not able to come into studio today. People complain when we just do the the phone or boards and stuff that they want to see us. They want to see us interact. I can't see Cody. You can see Cody. How are you doing Cody?

I'm doing very good. It's actually a beige couch just to let everybody know. But yeah, yeah, sorry. I wasn't able to make it in studio. I some of you know I've got a couple things that I'm working out. But yeah, yeah, yeah, happy to join you Paul as always and talk some fights. So not the most ideal setup. But I think we'll do just fine.

Alright, let's before we get actually let's get right into the action right after hop here. We got the main event Derek Lewis taking on Alexi Olinik Derek Lewis minus 200 favorite Olinik is a plus 170 underdog. I mean, I'm wearing an Alexi the boa constrictor.

The t-shirt right now as I don't know I believe you can't see I can't see you you can't see me but the people can see so I think people know where I'm thinking is the value side of this.

I think it's Olinik tell me if I'm crazy or not.

No, he's definitely the value side of it. I mean as much as you just continually doubt I know you don't continually doubt him. But as much as the fans can continuously doubt this guy 43 years old, he's just so unathletic. He's plotting. He's slow.

His chin starting to get a little more vulnerable. The guy just keeps taking man cast iron and he's got just a wealth of skills. Those skills particularly should play out very well in this spot here coming in minus 170 underdog.

I mean, yeah, like you said, value side Olinik has been the value side in pretty much his entire career. When he loses, he's generally the big underdog he was there to lose. But when he wins, he always caches those tickets as underdogs just going through that recent history of him.

But even just like, well, I'm not recent, but all the way back from the Jero Rochelle fight is a plus 300 underdog. The Travis Brown fight is a plus 225 underdog. He's even money against Albini and Marcon.

And then he's a plus 250 underdog against for resu overdo all this guy does is cash tickets as an underdog. So that should make you feel pretty good. If you're construing parles the way I'm more of a parlay player myself, I might be inclined to put Derek Lewis on the ticket for the simple reason of when it gets to the main event. It's an easy headjab. I get dog money.

It's fine. If you just want to bet one of these guys straight up, I feel like like you said, the value side is definitely a Lexa Olinik. And if you want to pass because it's a sloppy heavyweight fight, that's something to the consensus that's going to be under one and a half rounds. I'm not 100% I agree with that. It seemingly looks like the tale of two outcomes either Alexa Olinik goes out there. He takes down Derek Lewis speaking of that he should go out there and take down Derek Lewis Derek Lewis is take down defense is absolutely abysmal. Yes, he's fought a lot of good wrestlers. It's the fact that a lot of the time doesn't even seem like he's attempting to defend these takedowns.

What he's is good at doing is exploding and getting back up but against Alexa Olinik that's difficult man. He's got old tiny man guard where he'll just sit in sorry he'll sit in your guard and just sit there. He's just known as how to hold down opponents work his way to side control. And then of course he's going to go for his scarf hold. He's going to go for his e-kill. Derek Lewis is one of these guys. He's tapped to luster moves before he's fought out of some moves. Generally he's sloppy powers his way back up. I can see him just standing back up. I can see Olinik just taking him back down. If Olinik isn't able to take out

Lewis in the first round under round and a half he's not going to be able to you know in the Fabrice over Doom fight after a round he's really gasmed for.

Fabrice was gas too. Fabrice hasn't fought in two years. Fabrice was also in his mid 40s. He slows right down as well. He's not able to put Alexei Olinik away. Lewis will.

So if Alexei is going to win this fight he's got to hit that under one and a half. If Lewis can just you know survive for as long as he can for maybe two rounds on the ground then even though he's going to be gas.

When they're both completely zapped standing there no takedowns just swinging bombs. Who are you going to take?

Lewis still has power laid into fights. We've seen it. I mean he won the round three against Roy Nelson basically on one punch which was.

Well not only that one that like would knock out any mere mortal and somehow big country who had a hell of a chin.

Like maybe one of the gochins of all time was just able to eat it and that was like the only significant thing that happened in that round.

So yeah Derrick Lewis carries we've seen it over and over round three Lewis he can be down a down super bad the Volkov fight.

Another fight.

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