U.S. Inflation Hits 7%, and HSBC Issues Dire Warning--Here's Why
Real Vision: Finance & Investing
Real Vision
4.1 • 1.1K Ratings
🗓️ 13 January 2022
⏱️ 31 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Hey everybody, welcome to the Real Vision Daily briefing. It's Wednesday, January 12th, 2022. |
| 0:10.8 | This is Alf, the author of the macro compass, and I'm here with the one and only Tarius Dale, |
| 0:15.8 | founder and CEO of 42 macro. Hey mate, how are you doing? |
| 0:19.4 | Good man, it's good that the dream team back, man. How you doing? |
| 0:22.6 | The dream team, did you actually trademark that? No, someone else tweeted that earlier today, |
| 0:27.9 | man, some paraphrasing. |
| 0:31.2 | We can live with that, by the way. So the news of the day is obviously CPI inflation in America, |
| 0:37.9 | 7% year on year. Are you springed, I guess, in 40 years or so? Month on month core to clean up a |
| 0:44.9 | little bit of the noise is 0.6%, which is still relatively robust, but not growing anymore, |
| 0:50.8 | incrementally, month on month. Real wage is down. As a result, I mean nominal wages are up, |
| 0:55.9 | inflation is higher, even more. So real wage is actually drop. Market reaction, |
| 1:01.3 | well, yields are unimpressed. They're unchanged. Actually, 10 yields are down from the peak of 1.8%, |
| 1:06.8 | they're hovering around 1.72, 73%. The front end though is pricing almost four hikes by the fed. |
| 1:14.0 | Interestingly, I should add, the euro dollar is rallying. Quite interesting, I would say, |
| 1:19.2 | and all the assets that were hammered down last week, the NASDAQ Bitcoin actually start to |
| 1:26.0 | overperform once again, and commodities on the other hand are still rallying. So quite a lot of |
| 1:30.8 | stuff going on. We try to unpack for our listeners today. What do you think of the overall market |
| 1:35.6 | reaction and the inflation print, Darius? Yeah, I thought the market reaction was sort of, |
| 1:41.0 | you typically see this in sort of micro, sort of investing with earnings and things like that, |
| 1:47.0 | where there's sort of a whisper number, if you will, on the buy side, in terms of what investors |
| 1:51.3 | are expecting relative to what economists are expecting. And I think the biggest takeaway is that, |
| 1:56.6 | you know, this print didn't surprise to the upside, certainly not in the material fashion. |
... |
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