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Top Traders Unplugged

TTU78: If You Believe In Your Models, Never Deviate From Them ft. Kim Bang of Prolific Capital Markets – 2of2

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8670 Ratings

🗓️ 31 March 2015

⏱️ 82 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In our second part of this conversation, we dive into the details of the program that Kim runs. We discuss why it’s important to stick with your models, even in times of severe drawdowns, and how Kim views risk. He also talks about the books and people that have inspired him in his career.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

In This Episode, You’ll Learn:

  • The details behind the program Kim runs.
  • What he feels about larger drawdowns.
  • What kind of indicators goes into the models that he uses.
  • Why he uses a non-cyclical approach to creating trading models.
  • How he looks at volatility.
  • What kind of mean reversion strategies he uses.
  • How he responded to the Swiss Franc move.
  • How Kim quantifies risk.
  • How do you prepare for a drawdown when you haven’t gone through a significant one?
  • How his firm comes up with new ideas and goes about doing research.
  • The positives and challenges with working as a father and son team in the same firm.
  • How he knows when a model has stopped working.
  • What he is doing to launch his first fund.
  • What questions investors should be asking in due diligence conversations with him.
  • What books have impacted Kim’s career.
  • How he sees the firm in the future.

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Resources & Links Mentioned in this Episode:

Books that have influenced Kim include Market Wizards, The Quants, and books by Ralph Vince.

Learn more about people who have inspired Kim, including Roy Niederhoffer, Welles Wilder, and John Henry.

Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

Learn more about the Trend...

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

There's so many problems with these kind of drawdowns, right?

0:05.9

Because I think that a lot of investors, they really can't stomach.

0:10.2

Probably once you start going much beyond 15% drawdown, certainly 20.

0:15.5

I think a lot of people get very uncomfortable.

0:17.6

I would say that I would also get rather uncomfortable because it's not really sort of what I would be expecting, right?

0:24.4

You know, you've got to have a certain type of investor and a certain type of manager who is able and willing to keep going,

0:32.0

even if you're experiencing 25, 30, maybe even 50% drawdown.

0:37.0

And I'm not sure how many managers and how many investors, you know, really sort of can

0:42.3

pull that off successfully.

0:45.3

Most new CTA benchmarked themselves against the B-top 50 index, comprised of the some 20 firms

0:53.0

in possession of more than 50% of the industry assets.

0:58.0

These are the largest and most successful firms in this particular category.

1:03.4

The question is, how does an emerging manager compete and break in knowing 80% or more of the available investor capital flows to these few firms.

1:15.9

The good news is that all of these firms at one stage was also an emerging manager.

1:22.4

Of the 20 firms in the index, 19 of them started with AUM less of $5 million.

1:29.3

Interestingly, each of these firms had their best annualized returns for the first three to five years in business returning on average 20% per year.

1:40.3

Once the AUM grew beyond $500 million, their annualized return settled around

1:47.0

10 to 12 percent and their correlation converged.

1:51.0

Welcome back to Top Traders Unplugged, where the best traders in the world come to share

1:56.0

their experiences, their successes, and their failures. Let's rejoin the conversation with your host, veteran hedge fund manager,

2:03.1

Niels Kastrop Larson.

2:23.1

And currently we're allocating 50%, 50% across the two timeframes where we want to move to an allocation about a third in each time frame.

...

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