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Top Traders Unplugged

TTU32: The Most Misunderstood Stats That You Can Use ft. Marc Malek of Conquest Capital Group – 2of2

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8670 Ratings

🗓️ 18 September 2014

⏱️ 66 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

"If you can’t explain it in English to a reasonably intelligent person why it really works, then we don’t want it." - Marc Malek (Tweet) In the second part of our conversation with Marc Malek, we explore the strategies that he uses to build his models and how he explains them in simple terms. We go in depth about drawdowns and what investors should know about them. We also discuss what keeps Marc inspired, what he does for fun, and how he couldn't imagine having any other job. Welcome back to Part 2 of our conversation with Marc Malek. Subscribe on: In This Episode, You'll Learn: Four strategies inside Conquest Capital's Macro program. "What we start with is what we believe is the blueprint of how markets move, and then we try to create different models that take advantage of the different parts of that movement." - Marc Malek (Tweet) How the technological revolution has changed the market and trend following, now that everyone gets the same information at the same time. Marc's approach to building trading models. Defining risk in terms of upside deviation vs. downside deviation in the portfolio. Why correlation is one of the most misunderstood stats that you can use. How Marc deals with drawdowns and why he thinks nothing new is happening now that did not happen before. "Drawdowns are a very emotional issue and that's really the one time where I think managers, including us, do something that feels better for the investor, but is probably not in the investor's best interest." - Marc Malek (Tweet) His view on backtesting. The challenges hedge fund owners face in the current business climate and why Marc is lucky to have investors that have stuck by him. "We benefit from those sudden events that keep people awake at night; and the way we lose money is not from any fireworks, but from a lack thereof." - Marc Malek (Tweet) Why Marc is motivated to keep pushing through this period and why he loves what he does. "For each additional parameter that you’re putting into your model, you are lowering the number of the degrees of freedom that your model can have to react in different market conditions." - Marc Malek (Tweet) The story of how Conquest Capital got its first investor, and how in the early days investors cared more about managers and interacting with them personally. Marc's biggest failures, and how he overcame them. "If I could do it all over again, I’m not sure I would choose to be in a risk averse strategy." - Marc Malek (Tweet) The hobbies Marc has and why he likes seemingly dangerous sports. Resources & Links Mentioned in this Episode: Learn more about Backtesting. Learn about Downside Deviation. This episode was sponsored by Swiss Financial Services: Connect with Conquest Capital Group: Visit the Website: www.ConquestCG.com Call Conquest Capital Group: +01 212.759.8777 E-Mail Conquest Capital Group: [email protected] Follow Marc Malek on Linkedin "Even in its worst days - it's still the best job in the world. It's very dynamic, very exciting." - Marc Malek (Tweet) Full Transcript The following is a full detailed transcript of this conversion. Click here to subscribe to our mailing list, and get full access to our library of downloadable eBook transcripts! Marc ...allocate within the different risk environments and so on. Niels So you have these four strategies within the Macro program, are you able to visualize and talk just briefly about how each of them implement what they do, just to make it simplified a little bit? Marc Well, like I said, in looking at our long vol component... all trades that we do are, in the case of Conquest Macro, we have about 35 different markets or so.

Transcript

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0:00.0

You're listening to Top Traders Unplugged, episode number 032, where I continue my conversation with Mark Malick, the founder of Conquest Capital Group.

0:12.0

This episode is sponsored by Swiss Financial Services.

0:15.9

Welcome back to Top Traders Unplugged, where the best traders in the world come to share their experiences,

0:21.7

their successes, and their failures. Let's rejoin the conversation with your host,

0:26.2

veteran hedge fund manager, Niels Kastrup Larson. how to allocate within the different risk environment and so on

0:46.3

so you have these four strategies within the the macro program are you able to

0:52.3

kind of visualize and talk just briefly a little bit about what,

0:56.9

you know, how each of them, what they do, so to speak, just to make it sort of maybe simplified

1:02.8

a little bit? Well, like I said, in the sense, in the, in looking at sort of our long vault

1:08.8

component, right. I mean, all trades that we do are, you know, in the case of conquest macro, we have about,

1:17.0

you know, 35 different markets or so.

1:19.4

Okay.

1:20.3

And in each one of those, we're looking to, in each one of those risk buckets, we're looking

1:25.7

to extract a certain profile in the market.

1:29.0

The way I think of the way these strategies interact is essentially at the root of get us started

1:37.6

into a different topic.

1:40.3

But in a nutshell, I mean, I think historically, trends used to happen, well, trends

1:47.7

happen because information comes out at different times and causes market to move. Now, if you go

1:57.5

back in history, you know, 20 years or so, information came out very slowly.

2:03.1

Different people got it at different time and reacted to it at different times and created the trends that created.

2:10.5

I think as we, and that was great for long-term trend following, I think as we got to the end of the 90s, beginning of the 2000s, with the advent of the technological revolution, with the telecom revolution, with all the advances that we've made on the internet and so on.

2:41.0

The effect of that on the market is that it caused the way markets to move to go from a much more sort of continuous function where it was somewhat of a smooth movement over time

...

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