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Top Traders Unplugged

TTU134: Crisis Alpha Revisited ft. Katy Kaminski, Chief Research Strategist at AlphaSimplex Group

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Investing, Business News, News, Business

4.8712 Ratings

🗓️ 24 February 2023

⏱️ 72 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Today, we are joined by Katy Kaminski, Chief Research Strategist at AlphaSimplex Group, for a conversation on how they approach managed futures and trend following in their programs. We discuss how they work together with their clients to find the right solution for them and why it is important to understand the true meaning of Crisis Alpha, why commodities play a crucial role in times of crises and the key components of managing major disrupting events like COVID19. We also discuss why you might want an equity aware strategy, how they use machine learning to be more precise and prepared for moves in markets, how macro uncertainty impacts managed futures and trend following and much more.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Learn more about AlphaSimplex Group.

Episode Timestamps:

02:01 - Introduction to AlphaSimplex Group

03:03 - Their Investment Philosophy

08:02 - Too concerned about Sharpe?

13:42 - How do you customize pure trend?

16:10 - Crisis Alpha - the true meaning explained

22:24 - The role of commodities in crises

26:22 - A need for speed?

32:20 - Capping the equity beta

39:36 - Their approach to CTA replication

44:59 - Machine learning as a research tool

48:30 - Simple vs. sophisticated

50:02 - CTA style factors

56:16 - All about bonds?

59:00 - An uncertain world

01:02:38 - The signs of change

01:06:23 - Trend following disagreements

01:09:03 - Expectations for 2023

01:10:52 - Thanks for listening

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

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Transcript

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0:00.0

People ask me all the time, what's going to happen to the market?

0:09.0

And I say, we don't do what the market should do.

0:12.1

We do what the market is doing.

0:14.4

So therefore, when there's a crisis, we don't sit there and ask ourselves the question,

0:18.4

like, oh, I don't know if this is a crisis.

0:20.5

We just, our strategies move.'t know if this is a crisis. We just,

0:26.4

we, our strategies move. And then we answer the questions later. We figure, oh, my gosh,

0:32.4

did you see what happened to oil? But during the actual move, it's not about trying to value oil.

0:36.4

It's about figuring out what's happening, where's it going, get on the train.

0:41.8

Imagine spending an hour with the world's greatest traders.

0:46.3

Imagine learning from their experiences, their successes, and their failures.

0:48.3

Imagine no more.

0:54.7

Welcome to Top Traders Unplugged, the place where you can learn from the best hedge fund managers in the world,

0:59.2

so you can take your manager, due diligence, or investment career to the next level.

1:03.2

Before we begin today's conversation, remember to keep two things in mind.

1:07.1

All the discussion we'll have about investment performance is about the past,

1:11.9

and past performance does not guarantee or even infer anything about future performance.

1:16.6

Also understand that there's a significant risk of financial loss with all investment strategies, and you need to request and understand the specific risks from the investment manager about

1:21.5

their product before you make investment decisions.

1:24.5

Here's your host, veteran hedge fund manager, Niels Kostrup Larson.

1:33.8

Hey everyone and welcome to another edition of Top Traders on Plog, where today Alan Don

1:37.8

and I are joined by Catherine Kaminsky, chief research strategist at Alpha Simplic's Group as part

...

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