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Bankless

Trump, Tariffs & The Dollar’s Fate: Lyn Alden’s Macro Predictions for 2025

Bankless

[email protected]

Tech News, News, Technology

4.81.1K Ratings

🗓️ 10 February 2025

⏱️ 64 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The 2024 U.S. election has reshaped the macro landscape, and few understand its implications better than Lyn Alden. 

She joins Bankless to discuss the impact of Trump’s policies on the dollar, Bitcoin, and global markets. From fiscal dominance and trade wars to the possibility of a new Plaza Accord and the role of Bitcoin in sovereign reserves, this episode covers the key macro trends that will shape 2025 and beyond. 

Will Trump’s economic agenda lead to a weaker dollar and lower interest rates? What does it mean for Bitcoin and risk assets? Tune in to find out.

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TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro
4:03 Trump’s Policies
15:52 Dollar Strength
24:11 Plaza Accord 2.0
29:59 Inflation
33:25 Tariffs
37:50 Interest Rates
47:32 Monetary Policy
56:06 Impact on Stocks & Crypto
59:33 Bitcoin as a Reserve Asset
1:06:32 Energy Policy
1:07:58 Closing Thoughts

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RESOURCES

Lyn Alden
https://x.com/LynAldenContact  

Lyn Alden Newsletter
https://www.lynalden.com/  

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Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here:
https://www.bankless.com/disclosures⁠ 

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

And so I think that the challenging thing is that here in 2025, because we're on a potential

0:04.4

trend change, it's potentially more volatile year for a lot of risk assets.

0:09.3

Now, this administration is viewed as favorable toward Bitcoin and crypto.

0:14.0

So probably regulation surprises are to the upside there.

0:17.9

Some of the tariff things, while that can impact liquidity, that's more likely

0:22.4

to impact profit margins of companies. So being in assets like gold or Bitcoin can be perceived as

0:27.8

protecting investors from any sort of uncertainties there. And they're more kind of putting themselves

0:32.5

in the whim of liquidity. So the short answer is, I consider the next two years probably be moderately good for liquidity, but more bumps than we've had probably since the regional bank crisis of early 2023.

0:44.3

So we have more twists and turns ahead, but probably still reasonable for liquidity.

0:53.3

Welcome to Bankless, where we explore the frontier of internet money and internet finance.

1:00.0

And today on Bankless, we zoom out and check in on Macro.

1:04.0

We have Lynn Alden on the podcast today who guides us through the climate of capital markets as it stands today.

1:10.0

We have a new president in

1:10.9

office and he's got a new agenda. He's got new interests and priorities as it relates to fiscal

1:16.5

policy and global markets. Donald Trump's wants and desires will ultimately flow back and impact

1:23.2

the health of your portfolio. So we take some time today to understand what Trump wants and what he's

1:28.3

willing to do to get it and what it means for both equities and crypto. But also, it's not just

1:33.9

Trump's show. There's still inflation out there. The Federal Reserve is still doing quantitative

1:39.2

tightening and the dollar is still strong. How do all of these things relate to the United States

1:43.8

government's fiscal policies?

1:45.5

And how does it relate to all the risk assets that we all hold so dear? What's it going to do to our

1:49.9

meme coins? It's always a pleasure to have Lynn on the show. I always feel personally like I just get

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