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The Property Podcast

TPP533: A global property crash?

The Property Podcast

Rob Bence & Rob Dix

Business News, News, Business, Education, Investing

4.82K Ratings

🗓️ 1 June 2023

⏱️ 15 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Around the world, some property markets are holding up – while others are crashing. What’s causing this pattern, and what could it mean for the future of the UK market?   (0:44) News Story of the week  (3:16) Want to join the team?  (3:49) The global house market  (4:33) Looking at the numbers  (5:27) How has this happened?  (8:08) Where does this leave the UK?  (10:37) What’s going to happen to the UK?  (12:10) Why have we told you this?  (13:15) Hub Extra  Links mentioned:  Join the Property Hub team!  Install Honey  Enjoy the show?  Leave us a review on Apple Podcasts - it really helps others find us!  Sign up for our free weekly newsletter, Property Pulse  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hey everyone, Robby here with RobD, and you are listening to the Property Podcast.

0:06.8

Now, in some countries, property prices are crashing big time, and we will bring you the numbers

0:12.4

and tell you about those countries. But most important, we'll tell you what it means

0:16.2

for the UK property market.

0:23.9

Welcome to the Property Podcast. We're every Thursday morning. We share a little bit of what

0:27.1

we've learned from spending our time full time in property advising a fund and arranging

0:31.6

hundreds of transactions every year. So today, we're off on a tour around the world,

0:35.3

and you're going to hear some big and very surprising numbers as we do that.

0:38.9

And then stick around to the end, because in Habextrot, we've got an effortless way for you to save

0:42.9

some money. So for our new story of the week, we've got to talk about inflation because the good

0:49.0

use is inflation is down, and that's great. It's down to 8.7% from 10.1% in March.

0:57.3

So for April's figures, the latest figures which have just come out, inflation is down to 8.7.

1:02.4

What I found interesting in no Rob is that minutes after the announcement was made, one of our

1:06.7

mortgage brokers quickly got in touch, and they said, well, inflation is down, but swap rates are

1:11.6

going up. And I was like, what? That's a bit confusing. But there's a reason why that's the case,

1:17.6

Rob, because you would expect logic would dictate that, oh, well, if inflation is down,

1:21.7

then swap rates will improve as well. But there is a reason why they haven't.

1:25.9

That's right. At first, it makes no sense, but it's because everything is based around expectations.

1:31.2

So everyone knew that inflation would fall this month, and the reason for that is a big change

1:36.0

in energy prices, which happened now just over a year ago, have dropped out of the 12-month

1:41.3

calculation, which is how inflation is calculated. So everyone knew as a result of this, it was going

1:45.9

to come down. In fact, the market expectation was that it would come down further.

...

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