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The Property Podcast

TPP271: The 18 Year Property Cycle - Year by Year: Part 2

The Property Podcast

Rob Bence & Rob Dix

Business News, News, Business, Education, Investing

4.82K Ratings

🗓️ 24 May 2018

⏱️ 15 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Over the last couple of episodes, we’ve been discussing the economy as a whole and how that relates to the 18 year property cycle.   In episode 269 we laid the groundwork by breaking down the very excellent “How The Economic Machine Works” by Ray Dalio (and again, if you haven’t seen it, we highly recommend you check it out!)   Then for Episode 270 we took a year by year look at the 18 year property cycle from 2008, right up to today.   This week we continue our analysis of the cycle by looking into the future.  We’re going to go year by year - right up to the next crash. Some bold predictions are in store. We’re either very brave or very foolish. NEWS THIS WEEK In news this week, interest rates are on hold as The Bank of England has cut the growth outlook.  Is this a good or bad thing? JOIN THE CONVERSATION OVER IN THE FORUM Share your stories with us - Join the conversation in the forum. IF YOU ENJOYED THE PROPERTY PODCAST, PLEASE LEAVE A REVIEW ON ITUNES Reviews are really important in helping other people to find the show, so by way of thanks we read out every single review we receive on air. If you’d like to hear your name on the show, leave us a review on iTunes here. Not sure how to leave a review? This video shows you how to review and subscribe on iTunes. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hey everyone, Robby here with Rob D and you are listening to episode 271 part 2 of our 18 year

0:09.6

property cycle special.

0:11.5

We make some bold predictions this week. There's talk of flying cars,

0:16.1

there's talk of the future of TV scheduling, but also there's economic crashes,

0:21.5

there's boom times, and we tell you all the investment locations you need to be paying

0:26.3

attention to.

0:27.3

Yes welcome to the Property Podcast where every single Thursday property investors come together to get informed and inspired.

0:39.0

Sometimes that information is tactical and it gives you some quick wins.

0:43.0

But other times like today, it gives you a whole different way of thinking about property

0:46.7

and the economy in general.

0:48.2

We laid the groundwork for this two weeks ago with Ray Dahlio's economic machine.

0:51.6

We ran through the first part of the property

0:52.9

cycle last week and today we're going to be pulling it all together. We're going to be

0:56.2

covering a lot. We'll be making some big bets. You'll want to be paying attention.

0:58.9

So we have an interesting news story for you this week and actually this story's been circling for a little while but we thought we'd surface it because of our recent episode on interest rates.

1:11.0

We were talking about how it really is so difficult to forward predict interest rates and how

1:16.5

the advice on where they're going seems to be changing month to month and Rob this story from the BBC shows that that is absolutely the case

1:24.3

earlier this year looked nailed on for interest rate rises and now maybe nothing for

1:28.3

the rest of the year. Yeah at one point it was looking almost guaranteed for May

1:31.6

the markets had pressed it in. Every commentator

1:34.4

would say, yet rates are definitely going up this time, but not the case. In fact,

1:37.8

when the Monetary Policy Committee voted on it, it was 7 to 2 in favor of

...

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