Rap back where you at?

Yo, what's up?

It's Thursday, October 30th.

I'm Jeff.

This is the rant.

Tis the season, right? We are in November as of Saturday.

We are in November football. Things change in November. That's been the big theme for me this week.

And I also, at this time of year, like to look at the productivity over the first eight weeks.

And we are going to see some folks who are pretty much doing what we expected them to do. But we're also going to see guys who underproduce

or who overproduce. And so I wanted to take a look at those guys in particular today, the candidates

for regression. Now, before I actually get into this, I want to be really clear that a lot of times, like in casual

everyday speech, we would use regression as a way to say that things are going to get worse.

That's fine in everyday speech.

But remember, when we're talking about this in fantasy, we are not using that version of the word.

Words can mean different things, right? It's a statistical

concept. And, you know, usually, I mean, when we're doing regression analysis, we're trying to

figure out the relationship between two things. So, average depth of target and fantasy points scored,

or something like that, right? And what is the relationship between those two

things? Can we actually use one to predict the other? But we also can use this idea in terms of

regression to the mean, because there will be an average, essentially, between those two variables.

And when we see something that's an outlier from that average, it's way above or way below that

average, we know that's not a sustainable thing. Usually we'll see over the long term the

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