TONIGHT: The show ranges from Guatemala City to Quito to discuss two fragile states watching democracy fail. Then to Kabul and Islamabad to observe Pakistan revert to Army rule in a South Asia threatened again by jihad. Attention to Iran's predations an
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 22 August 2023
⏱️ 7 minutes
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TONIGHT: The show ranges from Guatemala City to Quito to discuss two fragile states watching democracy fail. Then to Kabul and Islamabad to observe Pakistan revert to Army rule in a South Asia threatened again by jihad. Attention to Iran's predations and Russia's long range brutality as the Ukraine war staggers at the end of campaign season.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Good evening. Tonight in the show, I have a very good conversation with my colleagues, |
| 0:05.3 | Joseph Umair and Ernesto Arauzo about the election results so far in the Americas. We're looking at |
| 0:12.5 | two countries, small countries, Guatemala and Ecuador, as representative of democracy, |
| 0:19.8 | under stress, slipping away, changing into something that looks like democracy from the outside, |
| 0:26.8 | but is predetermined to be in the hands of the bosses. There's a left lean in Latin America. It's |
| 0:35.4 | happened before. The clothing at the rose tide this time, the pink tide. However, it follows a model |
| 0:42.7 | that was established some years ago by, well, the Castro brothers before, but Chavez in Venezuela, |
| 0:51.7 | one man, one vote, one time, and then once you consolidate power, usually based on a |
| 0:58.2 | vivid and charismatic populist message, you change the constitution so that there is no second |
| 1:04.5 | vote or no opportunity to challenge. The re-election campaign then gets incorporated into the regime, |
| 1:13.5 | into the executive branch, the legislative branch, retreats, or is taken over by the same |
| 1:22.4 | parties that run the executive branch. We've seen it in Venezuela. We've seen the model also work |
| 1:28.0 | very effectively in smaller states such as Guatemala and Honduras. Those states are troubled by |
| 1:37.1 | narcoterism as well. Right now, we're watching it in Guatemala again, but this time, |
| 1:43.4 | an anti-corruption candidate, really from out of nowhere in the first round of voting, |
| 1:48.2 | Aravalo, is now seen as challenging the elite of Guatemala City, represented by Sandra Torres. |
| 1:57.4 | The trouble here is that Aravalo comes from a party that was fraudulently |
| 2:03.1 | posted. Its signatures endorsing it were challenged in court and seen as many of them fake, |
| 2:13.7 | and it will be hung up in the court's legislative body remains in the hands of the opposition. |
| 2:20.8 | So Guatemala is very unlikely to see a revelation of anything, any change, |
| 2:27.4 | whatsoever. This is more obvious in Ecuador, where, after the assassination of Villabencensio, |
| 2:35.6 | the party that dominates, raised represented by a former president, Korea, who is under |
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