TONIGHT: The show begins in the future after a Russian victory in Ukraine, asking what would Ukraine look like, what would Europe look like, what of NATO? From the panicky factory managers of Shanghai to the new Senior Scientist of Astrobiology at NASA i
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 22 December 2023
⏱️ 8 minutes
🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
1849 China cat market
CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR
FIRST HOUR
9-915
1/2:: #Ukraine: Simon Kuper aska what a Russian victory means for Ukraine, for Europe, for NATO? Anatol Lieven, Quincy Institute.
https://on.ft.com/3NAyIim
915-930
2/2:: #Ukraine: Simon Kuper aska what a Russian victory means for Ukraine, for Europe, for NATO? Anatol Lieven, Quincy Institute.
https://on.ft.com/3NAyIim
930-945
#PRC: #ScalaReport: Factory managers panic; Beijing blocks rare earth exports. Chris Riegel, Scal.com #Stratacache.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-12-21/china-bans-exports-of-some-rare-earth-processing-technologies-lqf1pzw8?sref=5g4GmFHo
945-1000
#"HotelMars: #NASA: Welcoming the new Senior Scientist for Astrobiology Strategy, Dr. David Grinspoon, NASA.
https://funkyscience.net/news/#
SECOND HOUR
10-1015
#Gaza: Sinwar in his private tunnels. Major Doron Spielman is a reservist spokesman in the IDF’s spokesperson’s unit. In his capacity as an IDF spokesperson,.. Malcolm Hoenlein @Conf_of_pres @mhoenlein1
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-offers-one-week-cease-fire-in-exchange-for-more-hostages-336ae59a?mod=hp_lead_pos4
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/gazans-are-starting-to-blame-hamas-for-wartime-suffering-066256b0?mod=mhp
1015-1030
#Houthis: Thugs from the mountains looking for pelf. Haisam Hassanein, FDD. .His current research focuses on commercial diplomacy in the Middle East.. Malcolm Hoenlein @Conf_of_pres @mhoenlein1
https://nationalinterest.org/feature/can-saudi-arabia-forge-israel-palestine-peace-208044
https://www.reuters.com/world/us-red-sea-taskforce-gets-limited-backing-some-allies-2023-12-20/
1030-1045
#Hezbollah: "It's not normal." Lieutenant Colonel (Res.) Sarit Zehavi is the founder and president of Alma – a nonprofit and an independent research and education center specialized in Israel’s security challenges on its northern border. Malcolm Hoenlein @Conf_of_pres @mhoenlein1
https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/israel-hits-hezbollah-with-fresh-strikes-after-attacks-on-north/
https://israel-alma.org/2023/12/20/daily-update-israel-at-war-day-75-dec-20-2023-2000-pm-israel-time/
https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/mapping-clashes-along-israel-lebanon-border
1045-1100
#Israel: The strongest horse. Jonathan Ruhe- Jonathan Ruhe is Director of Foreign Policy at JINSA, the Jewish Institute for National Security of America. Malcolm Hoenlein @Conf_of_pres @mhoenlein1
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/gaza-diplomacy-cements-qatars-global-mediator-role-29e0ffb7
https://www.wsj.com/business/energy-oil/red-sea-attacks-on-ships-are-alarmingbut-markets-arent-panicking-07f32936?mod=hp_lead_pos5
https://www.fdd.org/analysis/op_eds/2023/12/20/deterring-the-houthis-wont-be-easy-for-the-red-sea-maritime-task-force/
THIRD HOUR
1100-1115
#Canada: #Israel: Justin Trudeau disappoints with a ceasefire remark. Conrad Black, National Post.
https://nationalpost.com/opinion/no-excuse-for-trudeau-turning-his-back-on-israels-just-war
1115-1130
Two steps forward, two steps back. Mary Anastasia O'Grady, WSJ
https://www.wsj.com/articles/can-chile-escape-stagnation-new-constitution-economic-deregulation-freedom-6c165b0c
1130-1145
The number of ships at sea cannot meet guarantee the freedom of the seas. Jerry Hendrix, Sagamore Institute
Jerry Hendrix, Sagamore Institute
https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-naval-deterrence-is-going-going-maybe-even-gone-iran-houthi-attacks-red-sea-097cf61f?mod=commentary_article_pos7
1145-1200
#USN: #RedSea: What is to be done? Jerry Hendrix, Sagamore Institute.
Jerry Hendrix, Sagamore Institute
https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-naval-deterrence-is-going-going-maybe-even-gone-iran-houthi-attacks-red-sea-097cf61f?mod=commentary_article_pos7
FOURTH HOUR
12-1215
1/4 The Picnic: A Dream of Freedom and the Collapse of the Iron Curtain Hardcover by Matthew Longo (Author)
In August 1989, a group of Hungarian activists organized a picnic on the border of Hungary and Austria. But this was not an ordinary picnic―it was located on the dangerous militarized frontier known as the Iron Curtain. Tacit permission from the highest state authorities could be revoked at any moment. On wisps of rumor, thousands of East German “vacationers” packed Hungarian campgrounds, awaiting an opportunity, fearing prison, surveilled by lurking Stasi agents. The Pan-European Picnic set the stage for the greatest border breach in Cold War history: hundreds crossed from the Communist East to the longed-for freedom of the West.
Drawing on dozens of original interviews―including Hungarian activists and border guards, East German refugees, Stasi secret police, and the last Communist prime minister of Hungary―Matthew Longo tells a gripping and revelatory tale of the unraveling of the Iron Curtain and the birth of a new world order. Just a few months after the Picnic, the Berlin Wall fell, and the freedom for which the activists and refugees had abandoned their homes, risked imprisonment, sacrificed jobs, family, and friends, was suddenly available to everyone. But were they really free? And why, three decades since the Iron Curtain was torn down, have so many sought once again to build walls?
Cinematically told, The Picnic recovers a time when it seemed possible for the world to change. With insight and panache, Longo explores the opportunities taken―and the opportunities we failed to take―in that pivotal moment
2/4 The Picnic: A Dream of Freedom and the Collapse of the Iron Curtain Hardcover by Matthew Longo (Author)
1230-1245
3/4 The Picnic: A Dream of Freedom and the Collapse of the Iron Curtain Hardcover by Matthew Longo (Author)
1245-100 am
4/4 The Picnic: A Dream of Freedom and the Collapse of the Iron Curtain Hardcover by Matthew Longo (Author)
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Spark your creativity with the Sims. Sometimes you might feel like you're not creative |
| 0:07.0 | and you have to go in search of your creative spark again. Maybe this is catching up with creative |
| 0:11.9 | friends, experimenting with a new look or trying out a new recipe. |
| 0:16.0 | And thanks to The Sims, inspiration is just one game and one spark away. |
| 0:21.3 | Ready to spark something. Download The Sims 4 and play for free. |
| 0:27.0 | Good evening. The show begins tonight speculating about the future after a Russian victory in Ukraine. |
| 0:36.0 | This is Simon Cooper of the Financial Times writing the column. |
| 0:39.8 | I have the conversation with Anatole Leaven of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft. |
| 0:46.5 | After Russia wins, the Ukrainians will suffer, is Simon's first speculation. |
| 0:54.3 | Nader will suffer. |
| 0:55.9 | Europe will suffer. |
| 0:57.3 | Is Europe adequate to the defense of the future without Ukraine? |
| 1:01.6 | Simon thinks so, but he's not certain. None of it is certain, and so I spend |
| 1:07.2 | a little time waiting for Anatole, who refutes much of Simon's presentation, but this is worst-case scenario thinking. |
| 1:16.6 | Anatole concentrates on what is the definition of loss, in other words, Ukraine won a victory right away in the winter of 22. What is loss today? |
| 1:30.8 | I don't know. These are open questions certainly as we go into the new year and then |
| 1:36.2 | a conversation with Chris Regal about the stories from China factory managers calling desperate, panicky. |
| 1:45.0 | No orders, not enough orders, laying people off. |
| 1:48.0 | This has been building all year. |
| 1:51.0 | From offering a discount, from looking for business, from offering to help out, now begging, |
| 1:57.2 | pleading for news, for work. |
| 2:00.3 | Hotel Mars makes an appearance with David Livingston and we're joined by my longtime very good colleague and now the senior scientist for astrobiology Strategy at NASA itself, David Grinspoon. |
... |
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