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The Investor's Podcast (We Study Billionaires)  - The Investor’s Podcast Network

TIP286: Mastermind Discussion 1Q 2020 (Business Podcast)

The Investor's Podcast (We Study Billionaires) - The Investor’s Podcast Network

Stig Brodersen

Education, Investing, Business

4.63.6K Ratings

🗓️ 8 March 2020

⏱️ 76 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On today's show, we have the mastermind discussion for the 1st Quarter of 2020. The group talks about various investing ideas and the crazy dynamics currently playing out in the stock market.   IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: What the Intrinsic value is of ExxonMobil and Etsy. Why Exxonmobil’s plan for 2025 may indicate a 16% annualized return for you as a stock investor. If ExxonMobil’s 7% dividend is sustainable. Why Preston thinks that Bitcoin could go to $20,000 by the end of 2020 and $200,000 by the end of 2021. Ask The Investors: How do you pay yourself when your holding period is forever? BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, and the other community members. Preston and Stig’s FREE resource, Intrinsic Value Index. Subscribe to Preston and Stig’s FREE Intrinsic Value Assessments. Preston and Stig’s tool for stock selection and determining the momentum, TIP Finance. Join the Mastermind Group and the TIP Community for the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholder’s Meeting. Warren Buffett’s letters to shareholders. Tobias Carlisle’s podcast, The Acquires Podcast. Tobias Carlisle's book, The Acquirer's Multiple - read reviews of this book. Tobias Carlisle's ETF, ZIG. Tobias Carlisle's Acquirer's Multiple stock screener. Tweet Directly to Tobias Carlisle. The Investor's Podcast Network interview w/ Jason Moser from Motley Fool about Etsy. Preston's discussion of Bitcoin's Stock to Flow metric and article by Plan B. NEW TO THE SHOW? Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts.  SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: ⁠HardBlock⁠ ⁠Human Rights Foundation⁠ ⁠Plus500⁠ ⁠Netsuite⁠ ⁠Shopify⁠ ⁠Vanta⁠ HELP US OUT! Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it! Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Learn more about your ad choices. 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Transcript

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0:00.0

You're listening to TI P.

0:30.0

You're listening to TI P.

1:00.0

Welcome to the Investors Podcast. I'm your host, Preston Pition.

1:02.0

As always, I'm a company by my co-host, Stig Broderson.

1:04.0

And we have our mastermind group here, Toby Carlyleau.

1:08.0

Welcome to the show. Always great to have you back on here.

1:12.0

Hey, thanks so much for having me. It's good to see you guys.

1:14.0

Good to see you, Stig, again, since we met for the first time in the flesh and Los Angeles.

1:18.0

Yeah, it was good fun and fun having Preston calling you and we're Skype too to say hi to everyone.

1:24.0

And the community was so surprised that we haven't met in person before Toby,

1:28.0

even though we talk all the time. We do. We talk a lot. We just don't meet because we're in different countries. Good event.

1:34.0

Well, guys, it's cut right to the chase. So who wants to go first with a discussion on a specific company or investment?

1:42.0

Well, I've got a name for you. I'm going to say I'm a little nervous about this one.

1:46.0

It's a short as always. I've been doing lots of shorting over the last year.

1:50.0

I so I guess since we've been talking about doing the last year of these masterminds.

1:56.0

The short that I want to discuss is Etsy. Just so you know, in the fund, we do short, we short position small.

2:03.0

So they're 66 basis points, which is 0.66 of 8%. So they're very small on the fund.

2:10.0

And the reason we do we have shorts on them in there and we short small is because shorts can move around very violently.

2:19.0

In the ordinary course, they're going to lose a little bit of money. But if we get a big crash,

2:23.0

like we're kind of going through now, what the shorts do for our book is that they stand up a little bit more than the market going down.

2:31.0

So they do a little bit better than their weight in the portfolio, which is what they're doing for hours at the moment in the fund as the market's going down.

2:37.0

So Etsy, everybody's probably heard of Etsy. It's a niche online e-commerce business.

...

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