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We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network

TIP258: Current Market Conditions and Value Investing w/ Tobias Carlisle (Business Podcast)

We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network

Stig Brodersen

Education, Investing, Business

4.63.6K Ratings

🗓️ 1 September 2019

⏱️ 55 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In this episode, you'll learn:

  • If now is a good time to short Netflix
  • How to value Netflix
  • Why value investing has been underperforming for a long period of time
  • Why the price to book is not a good indicator for outperformance 

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Transcript

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0:00.0

You're listening to TI P.

0:30.0

You're listening to TI P.

1:00.0

Hi everyone and welcome to the show. My name is Stig Broderson. As we said there in the

1:08.6

deduction, Preston couldn't be here today because he's away traveling. But guys, we have

1:14.6

Tobias Kylal, principal of a choir's fund here with us today. Tobias, welcome to the

1:19.8

show.

1:20.8

Hey, thanks so much for having me, Stig. I don't have that beautiful, malifluous voice

1:24.4

that Preston has, but I got a different accent. So this will be like a United Nations

1:29.2

convening of the Investors podcast.

1:31.2

I love that you said that. And Toby, today we're going to talk about the current malignant

1:36.2

conditions. And we're going to talk about which picks we can find that will perform well.

1:41.4

Before we dig into your pick, what are your general thoughts on the stock market right

1:45.6

now?

1:46.6

Well, we've had roughly 18 months, two years of sort of volatility and bumping sideways.

1:52.6

I think we're up a little bit over that period of time, but I share Preston's views and

1:58.0

possibly yours as well. I don't know if you've been quite as vocal as Preston has been

2:02.4

about the overvaluation, but I think that the market is very overvalued. You can take

2:06.8

any measure that you prefer to sort of look at that, but you know, anything like Tobin's

2:10.7

Q, which looks at the replacement value of assets over the market value of assets, which

2:15.0

is a measure of what's the market paying for the assets versus what does it cost an

2:19.1

entrepreneur to go and set those up on very long run measures. We can look at that metric

2:23.4

going back to the, I think, sort of the mid 1950s sort of time period or a little bit

...

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