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We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network

TIP227: Jesse Felder - Current Market Conditions 2019 (Business Podcast)

We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network

Stig Brodersen

Education, Investing, Business

4.63.6K Ratings

🗓️ 27 January 2019

⏱️ 46 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On today’s show we bring back our good friend, Jesse Felder. Jesse is a former multi-billion dollar hedge fund manager out of Santa Monica California. Jesse is regularly featured on the Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, and many other national level business outlets. 

In this episode, you'll learn:

  • Why Warren Buffett’s valuation metric for the stock market forecasts around a 0% return over the next 10 years
  • Why Warren Buffett has refinanced his debt and what it means for you as an investor and house buyer
  • Why Ray Dalio and Jesse Felder think that the dollar is entering a bear market
  • Which gold stocks to take a position in and why

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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

You're listening to TI-P.

0:30.0

You're listening to TI-P.

0:32.8

Where we study the financial markets and read the books that influence self-made billionaires the most.

0:38.0

We keep you informed and prepared for the unexpected.

0:41.4

All right. So welcome to the investors podcast on your host Preston Pission is always on

0:54.2

a company by my co-host Stig Broderson.

0:56.2

And today we bring back one of our favorite guests, Jesse Felder.

1:00.0

Jesse, so awesome to have you back on the show.

1:02.8

Thank you so much for always making time for the two of us and just always being here to chat.

1:07.7

It's my pleasure, you guys, my favorite hosts.

1:10.3

Jesse, the first thing I want to talk to you about is just really kind of the current market conditions.

1:14.2

Last time we were on the show, you know, we hadn't seen the big December meltdown.

1:19.9

Well, I don't know if I would call it a meltdown, but the December pull down of about 20% off the

1:25.0

high that we saw there in the summertime frame, which is a pretty big drop in the equity market to come down 20%.

1:30.9

I'm just kind of curious how your scene are positioning in the cycle.

1:34.4

I think the last time you were on the show, I remember you saying the key phrase topping process.

1:39.9

Curious how you see it now after that 20% drop.

1:43.4

What we've seen since October and through the fourth quarter was the beginnings of a new bear market.

1:49.4

So, you know, and I look at it through the lens of fundamentals, sentiment and technicals.

1:54.7

You just start with fundamentals and we're still very expensive, based on any kind of valuable measures you want to look at.

2:01.5

Whether it's the Buffett Yard Stick or Cape Ratio, Tobin's Q, something like that.

2:05.6

We're all kind of still in the 90th percentile in terms of valuations.

...

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