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We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network

TIP156: Small Cap Investing w/ Eric Cinnamond (Investing Podcast)

We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network

Stig Brodersen

Education, Investing, Business

4.63.6K Ratings

🗓️ 16 September 2017

⏱️ 61 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In this episode, you'll learn:

  • Why small cap investing can be profitable for the right type of investor
  • Why you should always question where you are in the profit margin cycle
  • Why money managers are 100% invested in a market that 80% of them believes is overvalued
  • Why cyclical stocks are hated and yet can be extremely profitable
  • Ask the investors: How do I value stocks with declining net income? 


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Transcript

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0:00.0

You're listening to TI P.

0:02.5

Hey everyone, so Stig and I are so pumped to share today's episode with you because it was quite the learning experience for both of us.

0:10.3

Our good friend and former billion dollar hedge fund manager Jesse Felder told us about today's guest and he insisted that it was an important person for us to interview.

0:19.1

So Jesse told us that we would be hard pressed to find a guest that knew more about small cap investing and boy was he right.

0:26.4

So after hearing this interview, you'll quickly learn why Eric Siniman, who's today's guest, came with such a strong recommendation.

0:33.9

When we originally invited Eric to come on the show, it was to talk about small cap investing where he's really the top authority.

0:40.9

I learned a lot from our discussion about how price were set in the small cap market compared to lots cap stocks.

0:46.4

What really surprised me was whenever we transitioned into our discussion about profit margin cycles.

0:52.4

What most investors do is that they look at the past 10 years and then they make some assumptions about the free cash flows and the earnings of that stock.

1:01.9

However, what you might be looking at is two positive credit market cycles and one negative all the opposite.

1:07.4

Together with Eric, we want to solve that in this episode.

1:13.4

You are listening to the investors podcast where we study the financial markets and read the books that influence self-made billionaires the most.

1:21.9

We keep you informed and prepared for the unexpected.

1:33.9

So Eric, thank you so much for coming on our show. Such an honor to have you here. I know our audience is really going to eat up this discussion about small cap investing.

1:42.4

Thanks a lot, Preston. Thanks for having me and of course, thank you Jesse for recommending me. I appreciate that.

1:48.9

So whenever I look at your background, I see that you've actively managed money for 18 years and recently in 2016, you returned the money from your fund back to your investors.

2:00.9

And in your bio, you talk about this idea of relative returns versus absolute returns. Talk to our audience about first of all why you return the money.

2:11.9

And second of all, this idea of relative versus absolute returns.

2:16.9

Yeah, that's a great question. First of all, I return the money, you know, absolute return investing if you're not getting paid to take risk.

2:23.9

You know, I just I don't do that, but actually return investing for me. I actually have a specific hurdle rate and that's 10 to 15% on my equities.

2:30.9

And if I can't achieve that, that's my objective. I'm unable to achieve that. I hold cash. Well, what happened to me in 2016 is I had a high level of cash at that time.

2:41.9

I had about 80% cash. And I was also in a very contrary position, the precious mill of miners. And I mean, imagine that holding 10 to 50% miners at 80% cash in somehow still maintaining the vast estimate delivery.

...

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