4.6 • 693 Ratings
🗓️ 18 October 2019
⏱️ 27 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Twitter user @Donutshorts calls in to discuss his investment process, assess the world at large and identify some companies which may offer compelling opportunities on the long and short side.
0:55 Positioning in an “everything bubble”
6:15 WeWork and trouble in tier-one real estate
11:30 Low rates in the U.S., negative rates elsewhere. Convergence coming?
17:30 Opportunities and risks in the energy patch
20:20 Uber, unicorns and free money
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0:00.0 | Hey, this is a Grant's interest rate observer of the air. Current yield, we call it. I'm Jim Grant himself, |
0:09.6 | and with me as usual is the cast, including Eric Whitehead at the control panel, the great Evan Lorenz, |
0:16.3 | who is the deputy editor of grants, and my son Phil Grant, who edits almost daily grants. And, uh, you know, |
0:22.8 | and so, oh, yes, we have a special guest today and his name is donut shorts. Well, that's not the |
0:28.4 | name in the birth certificate, but we are honoring the request of our money managing guest to retain |
0:34.1 | his anonymity, not because of anything licentious or suspicious anyway, but because |
0:40.3 | some of the topics are just a little bit sensitive having to do with positioning and with |
0:44.7 | getting a short run by the stupid cell side, which you wouldn't know a value of it's sought, |
0:49.1 | if it looked in the eye. I says, sorry, I'm Mr. Donut shorts. I'm not sure. I'm not sure. |
0:52.3 | I'm not sure about these things. It's Monday. |
0:54.5 | Yeah. So we're, because this is kind of an informal gathering, we have known our guest for a long time. |
1:01.5 | We can attest to his, first of all, his professional competence and indeed success and also to his fidelity to the principles of buying low and selling high or of selling high and buying |
1:12.4 | low. So Donut, welcome. Thank you. It's great to be chatting with you. So I don't know, I'm going to |
1:17.5 | ask something to begin with. I mean, people buzz on about this thing, this narrative called an |
1:23.5 | everything bubble. I don't know, Donut, do you see an everything bubble or is it a bit more |
1:28.6 | selective than this? I guess I would lean towards the everything bubble. I think, you know, |
1:33.7 | we've got a monetary environment in which, you know, money and capital is being created at a very |
1:39.7 | rapid pace that kind of eventually finds its way into every nook and cranny of the capital markets |
1:46.0 | and more or less every industry out there. So I think, you know, there's probably some areas |
1:51.8 | where it's more prevalent than others and things are more distorted than others. But, yeah, |
1:55.7 | I would say it's in everything bubble. So Donut shorts, with that in mind, it's an everything bubble. |
2:00.2 | We're also in month 124 of the longest business expansion in U.S. history. How do you position yourself for this? |
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