Thursday September 15th, 2022 - NFL Odds, Picks and Analysis
The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff
Adam Chernoff
4.8 • 1.3K Ratings
🗓️ 15 September 2022
⏱️ 11 minutes
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Good morning, everyone. The Simple Handicap for Thursday, September 15th. Thank you for making me a part of your morning NFL week two officially upon us. It's crazy how quick these weeks move once you get into the flow of the season, already into another week. And it starts off with a phenomenal game tonight. The LA Chargers on the road at the Kansas City Chiefs, |
| 0:22.0 | KC, sitting as a four and a half point favorite this morning at Beck, Chris, four and a half |
| 0:27.2 | at Fanduel. All of the other four and a halfs that were there yesterday morning throughout the |
| 0:32.6 | day crept back towards a flat four. We're seeing the total 54 across the board got as high as 54 and a half |
| 0:40.7 | before it started to come the other way. Part of that could very well be J.C. Jackson, likely back in |
| 0:47.0 | the lineup for the Chargers. Keenan Allen not going to be on the field. That was sort of expected. |
| 0:52.8 | And it continues this weird trend that we've seen |
| 0:56.0 | since the preseason where injury news that's very well known in advance. There's not many |
| 1:02.6 | surprises around it. Have the impact post news announcement. We always get caught up in how great the NFL market is and how efficient it is |
| 1:13.0 | and how you can't get around anything. Yet people seem to think that these numbers are made |
| 1:18.2 | with those absentees priced in, which I don't always agree with. And we'll see another situation |
| 1:26.6 | with Seattle, San Francisco, a little bit later today, yesterday. That number moved as well. And it's been something we've seen now for a number of weeks. I don't know what's causing it, but there are some people that are looking to go under here. And whether that's news or just sort of pace and expectation related, which the latter of those two makes a lot more sense to me. |
| 1:47.4 | That is where we're looking and that is where we're heading today |
| 1:50.2 | with that total trending slightly downward. |
| 1:52.8 | Moving on to the games on Sunday, Miami, |
| 1:54.8 | on the road at Baltimore, some overmoney coming back into the market, |
| 1:58.5 | 44.5 shaded to the over. |
| 2:00.6 | Ravens still painted on |
| 2:01.8 | as a cheap, three and a half point favorite or a three and a half point flat favorite at a number |
| 2:08.5 | of places, but nothing too noteworthy on this game in terms of the market yesterday. New York |
| 2:13.0 | Jets on the road at the Cleveland Brown's Cleveland money comes in now up to six and a half across the |
| 2:18.4 | screen again there was news about Joe Flacco that was announced everyone knew he was going to be |
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