Three Good Fellows and Not Enough Babies: A Conversation with Demographer Nicolas Eberstadt | GoodFellows: John Cochrane, Niall Ferguson, H. R. McMaster | Hoover Institution

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News Commentary, Government, News, News:news Commentary, Politics

4.8 • 658 Ratings

🗓️ 14 March 2023

⏱️ 59 minutes

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Summary

What do long-term demographic trends suggest about the world moving forward? American Enterprise Institute fellow Nicholas Eberstadt joins Hoover senior fellows Niall Ferguson, H. R. McMaster, and John Cochrane for a conversation about shifting populations and societal behavior.

Transcript

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0:00.0	Don't look now, but there's something funny going on over there at the bank, George.
0:06.9	I've never really seen one, but that's got all the earmarks of being a run.
0:18.7	It's Monday, March 13, 2023, and welcome back to Goodfellows, a Hoover Institution broadcast,
0:23.9	examining social, economic, political, and geopolitical concerns.
0:27.7	I'm Bill Whalen.
0:28.5	I'm a Hoover Distinguished Policy Fellow.
0:30.0	I'll be your moderator today.
0:31.3	Please report that we're joined by our full complement of all three Goodfellows today.
0:34.7	That would include the historian Neil Ferguson, the economist John Cochran, the geostrategist,
0:39.5	Lieutenant General H.R. McMaster,
0:41.2	they are Hoover Institution Senior Fellows,
0:43.2	all. And joining us today for a conversation
0:45.5	about demographics is Nicholas Eberstadt.
0:48.1	Nick Eberstadt's the Henry Wendt Chair
0:49.6	in Political Economy at the American Enterprise Institute.
0:51.9	And as I mentioned, a renowned expert in demographics.
0:54.4	Nick, welcome to Goodfellows. Hey, thanks for inviting me, Jans. Well, good to have you on. So let's talk
0:59.7	demographics here. My understanding of demographics, Nick, it is a field that is largely fueled by
1:05.0	projections. But when we look at projections, this is not unlike economics or politics, I suppose.
1:09.5	But we look at demographic projections.
1:11.3	Nick, what is the right window for making guesses about future population changes?
1:15.5	Are we talking five to 10 years, 10 to 20 years, 20 to 50 years, 50 to 100 years?
	...

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