The US vs. itself — and other top global risks in 2024 | Ian Bremmer

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4.1 • 11.9K Ratings

🗓️ 9 January 2024

⏱️ 44 minutes

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Summary

2024 will be a dangerous year for the world, says Ian Bremmer, president and founder of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media. Forecasting the top geopolitical risks set to play out in the months to come, he untangles what's in store for the war in Ukraine, the state of the Israel-Hamas conflict and the tensions putting democracy in the United States to the test — all while AI continues to evolve faster than governments can regulate it. (This interview, hosted by TED's Helen Walters, was recorded on January 8, 2024.)

Transcript

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0:00.0	Ted Audio Collective. Talk's daily listeners. I'm Ted's head of media and curation, Hello Malta's.
0:13.4	And today we're bringing you a special conversation on the global risks you should
0:17.2	be watching out for in 2024. I was talking with Ian Bremer, president of
0:21.7	Eurasia Group and G0 media, and we recorded this conversation
0:25.2	on January the 8th, 2024.
0:27.4	Enjoy.
0:31.0	Like TED Talks, you should check out the TED Radio Hour with NPR.
0:35.0	Stay tuned after this talk to hear a sneak peek of this week's episode.
0:39.0	Hello everyone, happy 2024, wherever you are are it is January the 8th and I don't know about you but here at
0:46.7	Ted we are looking forward to the year ahead with a sense of nervous anticipation as we all know there is a lot going on from war on multiple fronts to
0:56.1	upcoming elections that some say will determine no less than the future of democracy. This is big, this is concerning, it's often slightly confounding, so given all that we want to move forward with eyes wide open and who better to help us understand exactly what to pay attention to this year than President of Eurasia Group and G0 media,
1:15.7	Ian Bremmer, Ian High.
1:17.3	Helen, good to be with you.
1:19.6	So Ian, you've just published your annual list of top risks for 2024 and I want to dive right in.
1:25.6	The very first one that you describe is called the United States versus itself.
1:30.8	So tell us.
1:31.8	Helen, the United States today has an incredibly strong
1:35.9	economy and military. Its political system is in crisis. The U.S. is the only
1:42.3	advanced industrial democracy that cannot ensure a free and fair
1:48.1	transition of power that is seen as legitimate by a majority of its population. That is what we are looking at in
1:55.2	2024 and it's happening against a context of a geopolitical environment that is very deeply unstable,
2:04.5	with a major war between Russia and Ukraine, which is nowhere close to ending,
	...

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