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Retropod

The time we thought an asteroid might kill us all

Retropod

The Washington Post

History, Kids & Family, Education For Kids

4.5670 Ratings

🗓️ 2 July 2019

⏱️ 3 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In 1998, the world briefly panicked over an asteroid that seemed headed straight for Earth.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hey, history lovers. I'm Mike Rosenwald with Retropod, a show about the past, rediscovered.

0:08.2

On March 12th, 1998, the news seemed dire. A Washington Post headline read,

0:17.1

Huge asteroid, due for a close call. Okay, it was supposed to hit in 2028, but that didn't stop people

0:25.8

from worrying and worrying a lot. After all, that was how the dinosaurs died, wasn't it? An asteroid?

0:36.1

Before we go further into this story, though, here's some good news.

0:40.2

We are not going to be hit by an asteroid in 2028. But this is the story of why we thought we

0:47.7

were and what we learned from it. In 1997, Jim Scottie, an astronomer at the University of Arizona, spotted an asteroid.

0:59.9

It was a big one, a mile in diameter. It was called Asteroid 1997 XF11. And from what he could tell,

1:13.8

it was on a possible collision course with Earth.

1:19.0

The International Astronomical Union's Minor Plant Center was alerted.

1:22.2

Other astronomers took up the cause.

1:25.8

And after a month of study, the verdict was in.

1:29.7

Brian Marsden of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics delivered the bad news. It was not out of the question that XF11 could hit the Earth

1:37.0

on October 26th, 2028. According to the Post article, the asteroid was quote, virtually certain to come closer to Earth than the distance to the moon.

1:50.0

In case that's not really clear, in space terms, that is really, really, really close.

1:56.0

Astronomers kept on the case, trying to figure out exactly what we could tell about this asteroid.

2:06.2

Eventually, NASA's Jet Propulsion Lab found some photos of the asteroid that had been taken a few years earlier.

2:13.9

They did some new calculations and came to a new conclusion.

2:18.8

Quote, zero chance was their estimation of whether the asteroid would hit the Earth.

2:25.1

In fact, the closest it might come would be 600,000 miles.

2:30.8

Crisis averted, panic over it.

2:34.3

And to avoid being surprised again, NASA created what's now the center for near-earth object studies

...

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