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Stansberry Investor Hour

The Three Sectors Investors Are Flocking to Today

Stansberry Investor Hour

Stansberry Research

America, How, To, Crash, Money, Learn, Stansberry, Income, Research, Debt, Stocks, Porter, Business, Realestate, Banking, Investment, American, Investing, Invest, Howtosave, Sjuggerud, Ferris, Eifrig, Jubilee, Buck, Sexton, Market, Bonds, Churchouse, Savings, Options, Lashmet

4.4677 Ratings

🗓️ 16 September 2024

⏱️ 64 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome Pete Carmasino back to
the show. Pete is chief market strategist at our corporate affiliate Chaikin Analytics. He's also
editor of the Chaikin PowerTactics and Chaikin PowerTrader newsletters. With more than 25
years of experience in the financial-services industry, Pete joins the podcast to share some
of his wisdom on sector rotations, pullbacks, and the housing market.


Pete kicks off the show by talking about the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates,
unemployment ticking higher, and the difficulty bond managers are having with timing the
market. He also shares his thoughts on the Sahm Rule indicator, which says we're currently
in a recession. Pete believes that Fed Chair Jerome Powell will only do a 25-basis-point rate
cut, but that ultimately Japan will be the deciding factor in Powell's decision. This leads to a
conversation about sector rotation and which sectors are outperforming today. (0:43)


Next, Pete gives pointers on how to find investing opportunities within market rotations and
pullbacks. He explains that a lot of the sectors that are thriving today serve as bond proxies,
and a lot of the individual stocks that investors are flocking to are safe havens that pay high
dividends. After, Pete talks about the trend in oil and gas prices over the past two years and
how it has been influenced by the White House's efforts to refill the Strategic Petroleum
Reserve. (18:46)


Finally, Pete shares why he believes the housing market is on its way to reaching an
"equilibrium" between buyers and sellers. He says housing prices can stay high (benefiting
sellers) while interest-rate cuts will lower mortgages (benefiting buyers). Pete also cites
increases to the lifetime gift/estate tax exemption as a reason for the influx of competitive
all-cash housing transactions. (34:31)

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hello and welcome to the Stansberry Investor Hour. I'm Dan Ferris. I'm the editor of Extreme Value and the Ferris Report, both published by Stansberry Research. And I'm Corey McLaughlin, editor of the Stansberry Daily Digest. Today we talk with Pete Carmesino, chief market strategist at Chakin Analytics. Yes, Pete is the editor and a guy in charge of making you money for Mark Chakins' power profits and Shakin Power Tactics.

0:28.6

I highly recommend you get out a pen and take some notes that this is going to be a good one.

0:33.5

Let's do it right now.

0:34.5

Let's talk with Pete Carmasino.

0:36.5

Let's do it right now.

0:43.1

Music Let's do it right now. Let's talk with Pete Carmesino. Let's do it right now. Pete Carmizito, welcome back to the show, sir.

0:45.7

It's good to see you again.

0:46.7

Thanks for having me.

0:47.4

It's great to be here.

0:48.5

Good a while.

0:49.3

Yes.

0:50.0

Actually, it's been a little while.

0:51.8

It's been since February 26th, 2024 was the last episode

0:56.3

featuring yourself. And, you know, it's time to catch up. It's amazing how much has

1:05.2

happened in between that time. Yeah. That's why it feels long. It is. It is.

1:11.8

But just before we hit the record button on this, you did mention that last time we talked,

1:18.3

we had discussed things like the unemployment rate and the potential for the Federal Reserve

1:25.0

to cut rates, which, you know, they've signaled that they absolutely will do,

1:30.9

and now it's just a matter by how much.

1:34.2

Yeah.

1:34.6

And, you know, the meeting is just within days here of when this podcast goes out to the world.

1:41.5

So I imagine that you have more thoughts about this now than you did in

...

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