4.6 • 693 Ratings
🗓️ 30 October 2017
⏱️ 18 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Jim, Evan and Phil hold forth on noteworthy sightings in credit, while Jim challenges a core premise of modern central banking.
0:43 #ECB taper announcement
2:36 Taylor Rule funds rate and the flattening yield curve
5:05 The search for “stability”
8:35 Kobe Steel bondholder surprise
9:55 10-year yield at a key level
12:14 The last great #bond bear. In like a lamb…
14:01 “Unprecedented in degree, persistence and circumstance”
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0:00.0 | This is the Grant's Interest Rate Observer podcast. |
0:09.6 | I'm Jim Grant, I should say, by way of preface. |
0:12.2 | With me is the great Evan Lorenz deputy editor of grants, Phil Grant, the eponymous editor of |
0:18.3 | almost daily grants, and Eric Whitehead at the controls and today |
0:22.4 | we're sponsored by e-financial careers which is where you go to get a very fine |
0:27.4 | financially themed job and we are sponsored likewise by away travel the maker of this fine |
0:34.4 | piece of merchandise you can't see it but it's one of the greatest suitcases ever fabricated. |
0:39.0 | I think ever is the correct word. Evan, so in this world of little tiny interest rates, |
0:43.4 | central banks seem to be doing more of what they have done, even when they say they're not doing as much of it. |
0:48.5 | Could you explain this with respect to the European Central Bank? |
0:51.5 | Yeah, so today's Thursday. October 26. Yeah, thank you. |
0:55.3 | Mario Draghi came out and said that they're finally, finally going to taper their 60 billion euro QE program to 30 billion a |
1:00.8 | month starting January of next year. And they'll let it sometime next year. They're not exactly sure |
1:04.7 | when, but eventually. All right. And they're going to raise rates, but not anytime soon. |
1:09.8 | Sometime tomorrow. But for Swedeners, in case anybody's too shocked, they're going to |
1:13.0 | reinvest the proceeds for maturing bonds to keep their portfolio the same. |
1:15.9 | So it is tightening with an easing touch. |
1:19.1 | A dovish taper? A dovish taper. |
1:21.9 | Golvik Love? I think I heard that on CNBC one time. |
1:23.9 | All right. So that's the ECB, as far as the Federal Reserve system goes, there has been rumors. |
1:30.6 | By the time you hear this, by the way, this all might all be moot. |
1:32.8 | So we will not linger long on the potential successors to Janet Yellen, including Janet |
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