The Rise Of War: Trump vs Biden, Israel-Palestine, Russia- Ukraine, AI & Elon Musk | Ian Bremmer

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory

Impact Theory

News Commentary, News, Business

4.7 • 5.2K Ratings

🗓️ 6 February 2024

⏱️ 88 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

Welcome to another thought-provoking episode of Impact Theory, I’m Tom Bilyeu! In today’s episode, I go deep with political analyst Ian Bremmer to discuss pressing global issues like the upcoming 2024 election in the US, the war conflicts between Israel-Palestine and Russia-Ukraine, and the influences of AI. Ian Bremmer is a political scientist, author, and entrepreneur focused on global political risk. He is the founder and president of Eurasia Group, a political risk research and consulting firm, and GZERO Media, a digital media company covering global affairs. In today’s thought-provoking episode, Ian and I go deep into geopolitics as he shares his insights on pressing global issues including: - the geopolitical stakes of the US election - what role AI plays in spreading misinformation - impacts of lies and loss of credibility on governance - the influence of economic disparity on cultural behaviors - scenarios for Trump or Biden election victories - fragmentation risks of NATO and the Ukrainian political system Is there an existential threat to democracy? Will America see a civil war in 2024? From the potential consequences for individual countries to the global economy and political system, today's conversation is not just about asking hard questions, but finding a path forward in times of radicalization, misinformation, and geopolitical turbulence. You can download Eurasia Group's Top Risks for 2024 report here: https://www.eurasiagroup.net/issues/top-risks-2024 Follow Ian Bremmer: Website: https://www.eurasiagroup.net/ GZERO Media: https://www.gzeromedia.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/ianbremmer Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ianbremmer Follow Me, Tom Bilyeu: Website: https://impacttheoryuniversity.com/ X: https://twitter.com/TomBilyeu Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tombilyeu/ SPONSORS: If you purchase an item using these affiliate links, Impact Theory may receive a commission. Get 5 free AG1 Travel Packs and a FREE 1 year supply of Vitamin D with your first purchase at https://drinkag1.com/impact. Try Audible free for 30 days! Just visit https://audible.com/impacttheory or text impacttheory to 500-500. This episode is sponsored by Betterhelp. Give online therapy a try at https://betterhelp.com/impacttheory and get on your way to being your best self! Start your free online visit today for your personalized ED treatment options at https://Hims.com/IMPACT. Prescriptions require an online consultation with a healthcare provider who will determine if appropriate. Restrictions apply. See website for details and important safety information. Subscription required. Price varies based on product and subscription plan. Try amazing skincare using code IMPACT15 when you checkout at https://oneskin.co and get 15% off your first purchase Secure your digital life with proactive protection for your assets, identity, family, and tech – Go to https://aura.com/IMPACT to start your free two-week trial. Go to https://tryfuture.co/IMPACT to get 50% off your first month and improve your health today! Take control of your gut health by going to https://tryviome.com/impact and use code IMPACT to get 20% off your first 3 months and free shipping. ***Are You Ready for EXTRA Impact?*** If you’re ready to find true fulfillment, strengthen your focus, and ignite your true potential, the Impact Theory subscription was created just for you. *New episodes delivered ad-free, EXCLUSIVE access to hundreds of archived Impact Theory episodes, Tom AMAs, and so much more!* This is not for the faint of heart. This is for those who dare to learn obsessively, every day, day after day. *****Subscribe on Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3PCvJaz***** Subscribe on all other platforms (Google Podcasts, Spotify, Castro, Downcast, Overcast, Pocket Casts, Podcast Addict, Podcast Republic, Podkicker, and more) : https://impacttheorynetwork.supercast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	You are living in a period of extreme geopolitical turbulence. Israel is at war with Hamas.
0:05.2	Russia is at war with Ukraine and today's guest believes that America is about to be at war with itself.
0:11.1	In this interview, we cover chances of U.S. Civil War, how you're being lied to the major threats
0:16.4	to democracy, the odds of World War III, the different ramifications between a Trump or Biden victory,
0:22.8	AI, and more. So join me in welcoming political analyst Ian Bremmer.
0:30.7	You've called this year the Voldemort of years because there are three wars, three wars that we're going to be talking about. We've got
0:39.4	Israel Hamas ongoing. We've got Russia, Ukraine, ongoing, and we've now got the United States
0:45.7	versus itself, which you've said could kick off at any moment. So what I want to ask is,
0:51.0	is it really that bad? Like in in modern-day America, could we actually
0:54.9	find ourselves in civil war? No. In fact, since you're asking that question, I literally,
1:05.0	just a few moments ago responded to someone. It was David Rothkopf. I did not have full-fledged civil war on my bingo
1:18.1	card for 2024. I think I need a new bingo card. And I wrote, I would definitely stick with your
1:24.4	old bingo card. So no, I understand that we have like 25 governors
1:30.6	that are all lined up saying, got to defend the border and don't want to listen to Supreme
1:35.7	Court. This is not about civil war. This is about a democracy in crisis. This is about
1:43.9	two sides that are very antagonistic towards each
1:48.1	other. The stakes are very high, especially for the leaders of both of these political parties.
1:55.0	And there is no effort to engage in diplomacy. There's no effort to see things from the perspective
2:03.1	of the other side. And in fact, they really don't even share basic understanding of political
2:08.8	facts. And when you look at that and you compare it to Russia versus Ukraine or Israel versus
2:16.4	Hamas, then you start to see that there is a real line
2:21.9	through of comparison. And that is unfortunate. It's not that we're going to start blowing
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