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And now, here's your host, Emmett Kennedy.

Welcome to the Final Furlong podcast and our first Race IQ data special of the new flat season.

As always, lead data analyst from Race IQ, Paige Willers alongside us.

She's going to steer us through the major group ones at Epson, the Derby, the Oaks,

and the Coronation Cup.

And we'll start with the Derby because I think we definitely need a bit of help clearing up

this picture, Paige.

The line in winter himself is just the obvious place to start, really.

He was the favorite for the

derby before the dante he drifts out to six to one after it the third fourth favorite then he comes

right back into favoritism then goes all the way back out to ten to one and now he's back into about

six to one despite the fact that indiana brian said he thinks it's going to be difficult for

one more to get off Delacroix.

What does the race IQ data tell us about the line in winter, but also what does it tell us about the wider picture of this year's Derby?

Yeah, well, I think, as you say, it's a very competitive renewal, isn't it?

And, you know, I think going through the answer, it's just like, it's kind of frazzled me more than anything else. Because actually, like, you suddenly go, you look at one horse and you're like, oh yeah,

actually, like, why did I ever not think this had a, like, winning chance, not just a place chance?

You know, so, yeah, it's, it's quite, it's quite an interesting picture, but I chance, you know. So yeah, it's quite an interesting picture,

but I think, you know, the annoying thing is we've only got two track races

for the Lion Winter specifically.

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