The Problem With Polls

The Daily

The New York Times

Daily News, News

4.3 • 107.7K Ratings

🗓️ 2 November 2018

⏱️ 28 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Two years ago, news organizations including The New York Times were accused of having misled the country with voting projections. Here’s what we’re doing differently this time. Guest: Nate Cohn, who covers elections, polling and demographics for The Times. For more information on today’s episode, visit nytimes.com/thedaily.

Transcript

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0:25.6	From the New York Times, I'm Michael Warbomb.
0:32.6	This is The Daily.
0:39.6	Today, two years ago, news organizations, including the Times, were blamed for misleading the
0:46.5	country about the projected outcome of a major election.
0:52.2	And we're doing differently this time.
0:57.6	It's Friday, November 2nd.
1:05.0	Right now, we have the presidency at about 89% for Hillary Clinton, 11% for Donald Trump,
1:12.0	obviously.
1:13.0	A lot of people have no idea that Trump is headed for a historic defeat.
1:16.2	If I can ask you to travel back to that night two years ago, why were people
1:22.2	so angry about the polls leading up to an on election night 2016?
1:29.5	We were both in the newsroom together.
1:31.4	We were.
1:32.4	I think there were two reasons.
1:33.5	The first is that I think a lot of people entered the election very confident that Hillary
	...

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