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Rotoviz Radio

The Pitfalls of Projections - Stealing Bananas

Rotoviz Radio

Blue Wire

Sports, Fantasy Sports

4.8770 Ratings

🗓️ 6 July 2022

⏱️ 54 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Ben and Shawn run through a variety of ways that an overreliance on projections will limit you as a fantasy drafter and suggest several projection-based thought experiments that will help you take your game to the next level. Subscribe to the RotoViz YouTube Channel here! HOSTS Ben Gretch (@Yardspergretch) - Creator of Stealing Signals Shawn Siegele (@FF_Contrarian) – RotoViz Co-Owner Stealing Bananas is powered by RotoViz Radio. SPONSORS RotoViz - RotoViz Radio listeners can save 10% off of a 1-year RotoViz subscription at RotoViz.com/podcast  or by applying the discount code 'rvradio2022' at checkout. Underdog Fantasy - Sign up via this link or use Promo Code ROTOVIZ at Underdogfantasy.com and get a 100% deposit match on their first deposit up to $100. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

The pitfalls of projections. That's what we're going to talk about today on stealing bananas.

0:15.3

I'm Van Gogh.com from my newsletter at pangbrush.com with me. As always is Sean Segal.

0:19.8

Find off his work at Rodeviz been cranking out

0:22.3

articles while I've been vacationing and Sean I've been working through my projections we've

0:27.2

been talking a little bit you know before shows and you've been asking me for you know if there's

0:32.9

anything that's been popping in my projections or you know what might be interesting fun things to talk about we

0:38.2

talked about train lance recently but we got to a fun discussion sort of as we were thinking about

0:43.1

what we talk about tonight it kind of centered on this idea that as I go through these projections

0:48.9

it's not easy to do and you've done them before this is a tough year with a lot of movement around the NFL.

0:57.1

And there's a lot of pitfalls you can run into with projections.

0:59.5

There's a couple of players that we had talked about specifically where I sort of said,

1:03.2

this is the type of player that I'm not even going to pay attention to my projection

1:05.8

for when it comes to sort of how I evaluate them.

1:08.6

But we thought it might be fun as we got on to talk about sort of the whole process.

1:14.2

Exactly.

1:14.7

And it's just so fun to listen to you, talk about some of the things that you're running up against.

1:22.2

And projections are just kind of crazy, right?

1:26.0

There are so many people in the industry now who are very, very good at them.

1:31.8

And it is helping ADP to be a little bit tighter than it was a few years ago.

1:38.6

And yet at the same time, there are a lot of pitfalls.

1:43.5

And as you mentioned, I have done some in the past.

1:45.5

We've got some great tools at RotoViz.

...

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