So as you might have noticed, a lot has changed in the presidential race in a very short amount of time.

With the Democratic Convention starting Monday in Chicago, I wanted to step back this week and unpack the new fundamentals of the 2024 race.

So I turned to an old friend of Playbook, Doug Sosmick.

Really what I want to know about is What's the race about?

You tell me what the race is about in terms of how it's being defined.

I'm going to tell you who's going to win the election.

Sosmick is a long-time strategist, best known for being a top advisor to Bill Clinton.

He's been in the private sector for years now, and for much of that time, he's been circulating

to friends and colleagues, semi-regular memos about the state of American politics.

Playbook has been featuring them for years, and recently the New York Times has been adapting them as guest essays as well,

including one this week.

You know, there are only three things I care about when I run a campaign.

I want to define what the election is about.

I want to define my candidate and I want to define my opponent.

So I was next memo is out today. You can find it LinkedIn Friday's playbook and it didn't

disappoint. I brought him onto the show and in our conversation we discussed

why the gender gap is getting larger and how it could impact the election in ways

that have not been fully appreciated, why JD Vance might

influence the election more than Tim Walls, which two metrics can tell you the most

about the state of the race. Why Omaha, Nebraska, might be the most important place in this

presidential election and why he thinks Kamla Harris has the potential to be like Ronald Reagan and Barack Obama.

I'm Ryan Liza and this is Playbook Deep Dive. dive. I think you're the first repeat guest we've ever had on this podcast so

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