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The Gist

The Loyalty Trap: Inside the 2024 Biden-Harris Collapse

The Gist

Mike Pesca

News, Politics, Arts, Daily News

4.43.6K Ratings

🗓️ 9 July 2025

⏱️ 40 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Josh Dawsey joins to discuss 2024: How Donald Trump Retook the White House and the Democrats Lost America, digging into Kamala Harris’s campaign missteps, Biden’s loyalty hangups, and Hunter’s oversized influence.  In the Spiel, a statistical deep dive tests whether so-called “100-year floods” are actually happening more often as seems to be the case. Spoiler: the data is murkier than the headlines suggest, and the NOAA interface could use a century’s worth of upgrades.

Produced by Corey Wara


Production Coordinator Ashley Khan


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Transcript

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0:00.0

It's Wednesday, July 9th, 2025 from Peachfish Productions.

0:07.6

It's the Gist.

0:08.4

I'm Mike Peska.

0:09.7

And I probably like you have been very bothered by the news coming out of Kerr County, Texas.

0:15.3

What they didn't do to warn themselves, but also, of course, the death toll, the governor of Texas, Greg Abbott, indicating

0:23.2

that 160 people are still missing. When you hear about the missing in a flood, this is not

0:29.4

people trapped under a building, you think they're dead. You can't survive underwater, you can't

0:35.1

even survive, or why would you survive if you were washed away by

0:40.9

the waters but stuck somewhere else. Maybe one or two people could. So the mind I think probably goes,

0:48.4

I don't know, maybe some people say, well, 160 dead. That maybe means many of them are alive. There's

0:54.0

hope. But another group of people

0:55.8

might go, I think, a bit more logically, just based on what we know about floods, that those

1:01.4

160 are not going to have been proved to survive. However, do have to caution you or perhaps

1:09.9

console you that in disasters, not only is there

1:13.5

a lot of unknowns and bad information gets spread out, but especially with missing people

1:18.4

in the type of disaster that we're talking about, where death comes quickly, there is very

1:24.8

often misreporting about the number of missing because the people who are missing

1:30.1

are not missing to themselves.

1:33.3

Their whereabouts just might not be known to loved ones.

1:36.5

And as a case in point, let us take the Maui wildfires.

1:40.8

I'll quote from an article in Big Island now from August 22nd, so just with just a couple of

1:47.0

days after the wildfires, 115 people confirmed dead with 850 still accounted for.

...

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