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Marketplace

The job market won't start fresh in 2026

Marketplace

American Public Media

News, Business

4.68K Ratings

🗓️ 24 December 2025

⏱️ 25 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The labor market has been tightening all year, and Americans have grown increasingly anxious about their ability to find new jobs. A bit of good news? New unemployment claims fell last week. But that isn’t likely to signal a full job market turnaround in the new year. Plus: AI investment hasn’t slowed under Trump’s tariffs, a TikTok creator shares “recession recipes,” and we learn about the history of Legos.


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Transcript

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0:00.0

Dueling data on jobs, more on what's behind that GDP jump, and to be on theme for the holiday, toys.

0:09.7

From American Public Media, this is Marketplace.

0:16.8

In Washington, D.C., I'm Kimberly Adams in for Kai Rizdahl.

0:24.6

It's Wednesday, the 24th of December.

0:27.2

Good to have you along, everybody.

0:29.2

We got some relatively good news about the job market today.

0:33.4

The Labor Department reported initial claims for unemployment benefits fell by 10,000 nationwide last week.

0:40.6

That's now down to the historically low level we saw before the pandemic.

0:45.1

It's a very different story than what we saw in the delayed government jobs report, which showed that since September, the economy lost about 40,000 jobs, while unemployment spiked

0:56.9

higher to 4.6 percent, other than the pandemic, that's the worst unemployment rate we've

1:02.2

seen since 2017. So, one report says fewer people are filing for unemployment,

1:08.7

while the other says there are more people unemployed.

1:12.7

How does that work? Marketplace's Mitchell Hartman is here to help it make sense.

1:16.9

Let's start with the positive employment news.

1:19.7

It's good to see that jobless claims are low.

1:22.9

Ryan Young is chief economist at the Competitive Enterprise Institute.

1:26.6

There came in about 10,000 people

1:29.0

under estimates, which is 10,000 paychecks that are safe. Except that might not tell the whole

1:34.2

story. Michelle Evermore at the National Academy of Social Insurance is an expert on the unemployment

1:40.4

system. Initial claims, as I always say, only measure people who lose work and then

1:45.0

apply for unemployment insurance. And right now, Evermore says the workers losing jobs are least

1:51.1

likely to apply for unemployment insurance. So that's black workers. People who are part-time for

...

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