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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

The Fed Amps Up Aggression--Stocks Plunge Immediately

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Investing, Business News, News, Business

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 6 January 2022

⏱️ 31 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

DB-Jan 05,2022:The U.S. Fed just released its meeting minutes, hinting that it may get more aggressive with tightening the balance sheet and reducing stimulus. That caused stocks to plunge immediately. China just launched a wallet app for its own digital Yuan currency with the aim to expand its usage to more people in the country and, simultaneously, achieve more control over crypto in the country. The digital Yuan is not a cryptocurrency like Bitcoin, but instead is issued and controlled by the People’s Bank of China. In the U.S., private-sector job growth increased by 807,000 payrolls in December, which is the strongest growth since May, according to the ADP National Employment Report released Wednesday. However, absenteeism resulting from the Omicron variant is still an imminent threat to non-farm payroll growth. 42 Macro CEO and founder Darius Dale joins to discuss all this as well as his developing macro outlook for 2022. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/34tOSGN Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello and welcome to the Real Vision Daily briefing. It's Wednesday, January 5th, 2022. I'm

0:10.8

Maggie Lake and here with me today is Darius Dale of 42 macro. Hi there, Darius.

0:16.2

Aggie, what's up? Happy New Year. How are you?

0:18.4

Same to you. I didn't say happy New Year, but it doesn't feel that way today. It doesn't.

0:22.6

I mean, we were just sort of watching these markets fall apart right before we came

0:27.5

on air and there is a lot on pack. The prospect of a more aggressive federal reserve, really

0:33.4

hitting markets late in the day in the minutes from their December meeting, FOMC committee

0:38.6

members discussed reducing the balance sheet shortly after raising rates, whether they

0:43.2

should do that or not as a way to ease back support for the economy. And boy, the markets

0:47.8

did not like the sound of that. And you rightly pointed out like when's the last time Fed

0:52.0

minutes, FOMC minutes move the market like this. It's been a long time, but that kind of

0:58.0

gives you a sense of what's happening. So just to wrap it up for those who may be out

1:02.6

and away from their computer listening to this, stocks, US stocks lower across the board,

1:07.5

they're still settling, but the selling accelerated into the clothes, which is something that

1:12.0

you don't really want to see happen. The Dow down almost 400 points, 1%, S&P down almost

1:18.4

2% NASDAQ taking the brunt of it again with technology down 3% and a third percent, the

1:23.9

VIX down, the VIX up rather 18, the rustle down 3% and you saw it in bond yields as well,

1:30.4

the 10 year up to 1.7. And those FOMC minutes, by the way, came on the heels of a hot ADP

1:36.9

number, which was swamped by that news, but private payrolls rose just over 800,000 in

1:42.2

December. That was double expectations. So all of this really pointing to a different

1:47.6

environment, it will come to the Fed. What would you make of it all, Darius?

1:51.3

Well, yeah, you know that hashtag new year, new you. I think we got a new year new Fed,

...

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