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Odd Lots

The Father Of CMBS Says We’re In ‘Uncharted Territory’ When It Comes To Valuing Real Estate

Odd Lots

Bloomberg

Business News, News, News Commentary, Business, Investing

4.52K Ratings

🗓️ 27 August 2020

⏱️ 50 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

There are some sectors of the real estate market, such as suburban residential housing, that are doing just fine throughout this crisis. However, other areas are facing true existential risk. The value of commercial real estate in big cities is extremely uncertain due to the combination of the virus itself, potential migration out of cities, and the fact that so many people can work from home. On this episode, we speak with Mosaic Real Estate Partners Managing Partner Ethan Penner, who has been described as the father of Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities, on real estate market structure and what it means for the billions of dollars worth of assets that are on the line.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:07.0

How your Evie's battery may not be as green as it seems.

0:11.0

Why a decrease in global birth rates could send countries scrambling to increase immigration.

0:16.2

You get context.

0:17.6

And context changes how you see things, how you change things, because context changes everything. Go to

0:24.2

Bloomberg.com'm Tracey. Hello, and welcome to another episode of The Odd Thoughts Podcast. I'm Tracy Allaway.

0:45.6

And I'm Joe Wiesenthal. So Joe, one of the themes that I think has been popping up

0:51.9

quite a bit on recent episodes is this idea of

0:56.2

this sounds really trite but opportunity in crisis or this idea that we're facing big, big economic devastation,

1:04.6

but maybe there's some sort of hidden opportunity

1:08.1

or even very obvious opportunity

1:09.7

to remake the economic system or improve

1:12.4

the financial system at the same time.

1:15.0

Yeah, I think that's right.

1:16.8

I mean, I, yeah, I think that has been a theme in this idea that there are a lot of policies and we've sort of talked a lot about fiscal

1:24.6

policies or monetary policy but there's all kinds of trends that have been

1:28.9

going in one direction and people are questioning have they reached their end point as a society as an economy

1:36.5

do we need to make some sort of like meaningful turn in a different direction.

1:40.7

Right and times of crises tend to be when we also see new innovations in the market specifically.

1:50.1

And I'm thinking about one in particular back in the 1990s immediately after the savings and loan crisis

1:56.8

There is a shortage of capital going into commercial real estate

2:00.9

Fast forward a few years, and someone invented commercial mortgage-backed

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