The Data Exposes the Truth About the Housing Market Crash
Ken McElroy Show
Ken McElroy
4.8 • 692 Ratings
🗓️ 11 February 2025
⏱️ 38 minutes
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Summary
Ken and Danille discuss how YouTubers are pushing fear about a housing market crash to get clicks, but the data tells a different story. In this video, they break down key economic factors, supply trends, and mortgage delinquencies to uncover the truth about what’s really happening in the housing market.
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ABOUT KEN: Ken is the author of the bestselling books The ABC’s of Real Estate Investing, The Advanced Guide to Real Estate Investing, and The ABC’s of Property Management. With over two decades of experience in real estate investing, Ken McElroy is passionate about sharing the good life by helping real estate investors grow and prosper. This podcast is a place for Ken to discuss numerous topics connected to real estate investing, including finance, budgeting, the entrepreneur mindset, and creating passive income. Ken offers a wealth of personal experiences, practical advice, success stories, and even some informative setbacks, all presented here to educate and inspire. Whether you’re a new or seasoned investor, the information and resources on this channel will set you on a path where you and your investments can thrive.
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | YouTubers are lying to you about the upcoming housing market crash, and they're doing it just to get clicks and views on their videos. |
| 0:11.9 | I know. We watch these things all day long, people sending us stuff all day long. That's why it's confusing online, right? |
| 0:17.8 | Yeah, absolutely. And I, you know, I think that, you know, working with home buyers and |
| 0:22.6 | things, everyone's just waiting for this huge housing market crashed in order to buy. And I just |
| 0:28.7 | feel like if you sit on the sidelines, you might miss out on a good time to buy because it actually |
| 0:33.6 | is right now a buyer's market. So it's actually a decent time to buy. If you're an |
| 0:39.3 | investor, it's a hard time to buy with cash flow. But if you're a first time home buyer, |
| 0:43.2 | I mean, you're, you know, you're getting seller concessions. You're able to negotiate the price, |
| 0:48.0 | days on market are up, all the things, right? But people are just waiting for it to get like way |
| 0:53.0 | worse. Yeah. Here's the thing, |
| 0:55.3 | guys, you got to stick with math. Like, as you guys always know, I always say, just look at the |
| 1:01.4 | math. Like when you're buying a deal, it's all about the math, you know, expenses minus income, |
| 1:07.5 | which is the NOI, and then your debt, and then does a cash flow or not? So it's the same |
| 1:13.7 | thing here. Like, what's the inventory levels? What are the inventory levels? That's a huge thing. |
| 1:21.7 | What's going on on days on market? Another huge thing. What's happening with the delinquencies, which we're going to talk about? And what's happening with the delinquencies which we're going to talk about |
| 1:29.4 | and what's happening with the the you know how quickly things are being sold the interest rates and |
| 1:35.7 | all that stuff it's all just data and so you got to be careful not to get you know you know rush |
| 1:42.4 | in in this particular time yeah and jerry if you can pull up clip one for us. |
| 1:51.8 | Are we just not going to see it on our end? Okay. So this is, you know, Reventure and see you have a lot |
| 1:56.4 | of views on these videos, right? And he talks a lot about crashes that may or may not ever happen. You know, 27% |
| 2:03.5 | loss, 35% drop in this market. We're just not seeing that. So you guys have to be careful the |
| 2:09.2 | videos you're watching and what, you know, if is it clickbait, are they, because, you know, |
... |
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