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Polsters are imperfect profits. We saw them humiliated in the 2016 US general election.

One survey by the Princeton Election Consortium declared that the chance of Hillary Clinton

defeating Donald Trump was over 99%.

Here in the UK in the same year, very few believe that the majority would vote to leave the European Union,

even among those who most desired that outcome.

The electorate is a fickle beast.

So what are we to make of the latest of many ominous polls for the Conservatives?

A recent U-Gov analysis seemingly obliterates Rishi Sunak's chances of victory with

labor projected to win over 400 seats. If this prophecy plays out it would see

numerous cabinet ministers dispatched including Jeremy Hunt, Penny Mordent and Grant Shaps.

The results are even worse for the Tories than those revealed by a poll commissioned by Conservative

Britain Alliance in January, which drew information from a sample seven times larger than the norm.

We've seen pollsters get it disastrously wrong in the past,

but surely the return of labor is now an inevitability.

And although I'm unlikely to vote for either Sunak or Starma, I would never be comfortable with any one party holding such an overwhelming majority.

Effective government requires effective opposition.

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