Tempering Exuberance: Market Signals Over Market Noise: DB- Dec 10, 2020
Real Vision: Finance & Investing
Real Vision
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🗓️ 10 December 2020
⏱️ 40 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | It's Thursday, December 10, 2020. |
| 0:15.0 | This is the Real Vision Daily Briefing. |
| 0:17.0 | I'm Ed Harrison joined shortly by Tom Thornton, Hedge Fund Telemetry, |
| 0:21.0 | founder and CEO. |
| 0:23.6 | But first, with the news of the day, Haley Drasman. |
| 0:26.8 | Hey Ed, markets were mixed on Thursday |
| 0:29.3 | after fresh data showed unemployment claims jumped sharply last week. |
| 0:34.0 | 853,000 initial jobless claims were filed last week, |
| 0:38.0 | that's the highest since September. |
| 0:40.0 | It's a big jump from Thanksgiving week and it likely overstates the underlying trend we saw following the holiday at a revised 716,000 initial jobless claims. |
| 0:52.0 | To be honest, this was to be expected. The surge in |
| 0:55.2 | initial claims is especially concerning when claims are still above levels |
| 0:59.3 | near the peak of the Great Recession. If you look at the not seasonally adjusted numbers, it's even |
| 1:04.6 | scarier, with 947,000 jobless claims filed. Continuing claims also increased to more than |
| 1:11.8 | 5.7 million. It's the first time that |
| 1:14.8 | number has gone up since August. Investors expected there could be declines in |
| 1:19.7 | continuing claims as workers started rolling on to other programs like the Pandemic Emergency Unemployment Compensation Program after having exhausted their state benefits, but we're just not seeing that. |
| 1:32.0 | That program is also expected to expire at the end of the month. |
| 1:35.6 | This ugly round of data is weighing on expectations for the December jobs report without a doubt. |
| 1:41.5 | Thousands of people are losing their jobs every week because demand simply has not returned. |
| 1:47.0 | When someone is let go today, I think that means the company doesn't see that job existing for a while, so we're losing momentum here. |
| 1:55.0 | The rise in virus cases has put more pressure on the job market. |
... |
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