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Politics Theory Other

Teaser - PTO Extra! A recession like no other w/ James Meadway

Politics Theory Other

Politics Theory Other

News

4.8553 Ratings

🗓️ 26 August 2020

⏱️ 3 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Britain is officially in its deepest recession since records began following the unprecedented economic shutdown in response to the Covid19 pandemic. In the past six months, the UK has shed close to three quarters of a million jobs - a grim foretaste of what could be the kind of mass unemployment not seen in the UK since the 1980s. PTO spoke to James Meadway about why Britain's recession is more severe than those faced by comparable economies, whether central bank economic crisis fighting measures may lay the basis for a financial crisis, and why the Government could be forced to extend the furlough scheme beyond the autumn. Become a PTO supporter on Patreon to get access to the full episode: https://www.patreon.com/poltheoryother

Transcript

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0:00.0

So going back to the UK's poor performance vis-a-vis other comparable economies, one argument

0:05.1

that I've seen being made to explain the UK's poor economic performance is, is to say that

0:08.9

the UK is somewhat unusual in how globalised its economy is, so any shutdown of cross-border

0:14.0

flows is going to have a heavier impact on a more outward-oriented economy like the UK's,

0:18.6

and especially one that depends on services to the

0:21.6

extent that the British economy does. Do you find that argument just wholly and persuasive?

0:26.3

It's really not going to fly. If you take services in general, France has a similar size

0:30.7

service sector, a bit smaller to us. I mean, most of the large developed economies now have

0:35.1

significant service sectors. This is like how capitalism

0:38.0

operates, with some variation in Germany. Obviously, has a much larger manufacturing sector than most.

0:43.0

But France has been nowhere nearly as badly affected as Britain in this. If you take the most

0:47.5

globalised part of services, the bit that if you talk about trading services, and bear in mind,

0:51.9

most services aren't traded, right? It's very hard, internationally, I mean. It's very hard to sell hairdressing to the rest of the world, right? Because you have to fly the hairdresser there or have people fly in. I mean, mostly hairdressing, you don't sell internationally. So most services are not traded internationally. If you look at the bit of services that is trade internationally,

1:11.0

which is basically financial services, which is big in Britain, this hasn't been that much

1:14.4

affected by it. A lot of very large financial companies basically said everyone worked from home

1:18.6

and you can carry on doing more or less what you were doing before. You're just at home now

1:22.3

rather than in the office. So it hasn't had that impact. So this is really not going to

1:27.1

work as an excuse of what's happened in Britain.

1:29.3

The real reason is that this is a government failure on a very grand scale.

1:33.1

They had a government that tried to do as little as possible, supposedly to protect the economy for as long as possible,

1:39.2

made a series of very bad decisions, including stopping, testing, and tracing in early March, that kind of thing.

1:45.6

And then because this was producing a disastrous public health situation, these are the models,

...

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