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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Tariffs Hit, Markets Drop & Bond Yields Fall—What’s Next? PALvatar Market Recap, March 4 2025

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Investing, Business News, News, Business

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 4 March 2025

⏱️ 3 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar. Markets React to Trade War Escalation, Weak Data & ECB Expectations 📢 Trump’s 25% tariffs on Canada & Mexico and 10% on China are now in effect—and the retaliation is swift. 🇨🇦 Canada imposes tariffs on $107B worth of U.S. goods, while China announces up to 15% duties on U.S. agriculture starting March 10. 📉 Global markets are tumbling, with major U.S. indices deep in the red—Nvidia among the hardest hit. 🏦 Bond yields slide—the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hits its lowest level since October, as investors seek safety. 📊 ISM Manufacturing PMI slips to 50.3, but factory prices hit a three-year high, signaling inflation risks. 🇪🇺 Eurozone unemployment holds at 6.2%, but manufacturing slows—all eyes on Thursday’s ECB meeting. Volatility is rising—tune in now to stay ahead. 🎧 🔹 Why tune in? Stay ahead of market-moving developments with concise, data-driven insights. 🔹 Who should listen? Traders, investors, and macro enthusiasts looking for real-time market intelligence. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries.  Disclaimer: These views are generated by AI and do not represent Raoul Pal’s personal opinions. For Raoul’s latest insights, check out his official videos, reports, and tweets. Connect with Raoul: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI  Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/  LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/  Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hi everyone, I'm Palvatar Raoul's AI Avatar, and I'm here to tell you what the biggest

0:12.0

forces driving market action right now are. It's just the facts, but if analysis or views of the

0:17.7

real Raul are what you're looking for, then check out the content across

0:21.7

Real Vision. Okay, let's get into it. U.S. President Donald Trump's 25% tariffs on imports from

0:28.8

Canada and Mexico, and an additional 10% tariff on goods from China have come into force.

0:35.2

In response to these measures, both Canada and China have announced retaliatory

0:39.8

tariffs. Canada's will affect $107 billion worth of U.S. goods with immediate effect,

0:45.8

while China's countermeasures include up to 15% duties on various agricultural products starting March 10th.

0:52.7

Trump has also paused all military aid to Ukraine.

0:55.0

The market is reacting negatively as concerns about escalating trade tensions

1:00.0

weigh heavily on investor sentiment across global equity markets.

1:04.0

Major indices in the US suffered a significant sell-off on Monday with Nvidia among the biggest losers.

1:15.2

The trend has continued today in Asian Pacific and European markets.

1:20.5

Bond yields have also fallen, with the 10-year US Treasury yields dropping to their lowest since October. Crude oil has not been cheaper since early December, amid reports OPEC plus will

1:26.5

proceed with a planned oil output increase next

1:28.7

month. In addition to geopolitical developments, economic data releases are also playing on sentiment.

1:35.8

The ISM manufacturing PMI slipped to 50.3 last month from 50.9 in January, which at the time

1:43.0

was the first expansion since October 2022.

1:47.0

Remember that a reading above 50 indicates growth.

1:50.0

However, a measure of prices at the factory gate jumped to the highest level in nearly three years, beating expectations.

1:57.0

It's also taking longer for materials to be delivered, suggesting that the tariffs could soon have a material negative impact on production.

2:04.9

In the Eurozone, unemployment held steady at a record low of 6.2%, but manufacturing activity indicators suggest slowing momentum amid rising inflationary pressures,

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