4.4 • 3K Ratings
🗓️ 31 July 2025
⏱️ 17 minutes
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0:00.0 | Tariff and trade wars can't slow big tech's momentum. |
0:08.5 | Motley Fool money starts now. |
0:10.5 | I'm Rachel Warren, joined today by Motley Fool analysts Lou Whiteman and John Quost. |
0:24.6 | Today we're talking Mag 7 spending plans and tariff turmoil, but we have to start with the big macro picture first. |
0:31.6 | We learned Wednesday that the U.S. economy returns to growth in Q2, U.S. gross domestic product, which is a measure of the |
0:38.5 | value of goods and services produced across the economy, rose by 3% in the second quarter. |
0:44.2 | That's up from a 0.5% contraction in the first quarter of the year, and it's actually ahead of |
0:49.0 | the consensus estimate. We also saw that consumer spending rose by more than 1% in Q2. Now, this was as exports declined |
0:56.6 | single digits and imports fell by more than 30%, reversing a major surge that we saw in Q1 of 2025. |
1:04.2 | You know, John, the big takeaway for me is consumer spending seems to be holding up well, even as |
1:09.3 | businesses have turned cautious. But the question |
1:12.1 | is, with all the headwinds, the economy is facing, do you think that this can continue? |
1:16.1 | Yes, this can absolutely continue. Rachel, consumer spending can hold up. Now, listen, |
1:22.7 | I could give you so many reasons on why to be skeptical, on why the opposite is true. First and foremost, |
1:29.3 | there's 1.2 trillion in credit card debt out there right now. That's up 30% in just the last |
1:34.2 | three years. So it would seem that consumers are spending, yes, but it also seems like they're |
1:38.7 | spending on credit. So that's a party that the music is going to end, eventually it would seem. And when |
1:45.3 | that music ends, there could be a contraction to consumer spending. That said, I do say |
1:51.6 | it can hold up because there's almost always a reason to be skeptical. And yet, consumer |
1:57.2 | spending almost always holds up. We will probably see shifts in consumer spending, |
2:02.1 | and I think that it is playing out. So you take, for example, a company such as |
2:06.2 | Kellanova. This is the company that was spun out from Kellogg's. It makes Pringles, |
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