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Motley Fool Money

Tariffs and Trade Wars Can’t Slow Big Tech’s Momentum

Motley Fool Money

The Motley Fool

Business, Investing

4.43K Ratings

🗓️ 31 July 2025

⏱️ 17 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Federal Reserve holds rates steady for now, but an ever-evolving trade and tariff picture raises questions about for how long. Also, Meta Platforms and Microsoft earnings suggest no slowdown in AI spending.  Lou Whiteman, Rachel Warren, and Jon Quast discuss: - The Federal Reserve’s decision to keep rates steady - A shift in smartphone production - Microsoft and Meta Platforms commit to continued elevated capex spending - Who will be the next $4 trillion company? Companies discussed:  Meta Platforms (META), Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Nvidia (NVDA)  Host: Rachel Warren Guests: Lou Whiteman, Jon Quast Engineer: Bart Shannon   Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, "TMF") do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Tariff and trade wars can't slow big tech's momentum.

0:08.5

Motley Fool money starts now.

0:10.5

I'm Rachel Warren, joined today by Motley Fool analysts Lou Whiteman and John Quost.

0:24.6

Today we're talking Mag 7 spending plans and tariff turmoil, but we have to start with the big macro picture first.

0:31.6

We learned Wednesday that the U.S. economy returns to growth in Q2, U.S. gross domestic product, which is a measure of the

0:38.5

value of goods and services produced across the economy, rose by 3% in the second quarter.

0:44.2

That's up from a 0.5% contraction in the first quarter of the year, and it's actually ahead of

0:49.0

the consensus estimate. We also saw that consumer spending rose by more than 1% in Q2. Now, this was as exports declined

0:56.6

single digits and imports fell by more than 30%, reversing a major surge that we saw in Q1 of 2025.

1:04.2

You know, John, the big takeaway for me is consumer spending seems to be holding up well, even as

1:09.3

businesses have turned cautious. But the question

1:12.1

is, with all the headwinds, the economy is facing, do you think that this can continue?

1:16.1

Yes, this can absolutely continue. Rachel, consumer spending can hold up. Now, listen,

1:22.7

I could give you so many reasons on why to be skeptical, on why the opposite is true. First and foremost,

1:29.3

there's 1.2 trillion in credit card debt out there right now. That's up 30% in just the last

1:34.2

three years. So it would seem that consumers are spending, yes, but it also seems like they're

1:38.7

spending on credit. So that's a party that the music is going to end, eventually it would seem. And when

1:45.3

that music ends, there could be a contraction to consumer spending. That said, I do say

1:51.6

it can hold up because there's almost always a reason to be skeptical. And yet, consumer

1:57.2

spending almost always holds up. We will probably see shifts in consumer spending,

2:02.1

and I think that it is playing out. So you take, for example, a company such as

2:06.2

Kellanova. This is the company that was spun out from Kellogg's. It makes Pringles,

...

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