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Animal Spirits Podcast

Talk Your Book: Invest by Avoiding the Losers

Animal Spirits Podcast

The Compound

Investing, Business News, News, Business

4.72.1K Ratings

🗓️ 19 July 2021

⏱️ 33 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On today's Talk Your Book, we spoke with Julian Koski of New Age Alpha about setting baselines and probabilities on current stock prices to help avoid the losers in the future.   Find complete shownotes on our blogs... Ben Carlson’s A Wealth of Common Sense Michael Batnick’s The Irrelevant Investor Like us on Facebook And feel free to shoot us an email at animalspiritspod@gmail.com with any feedback, questions, recommendations, or ideas for future topics of conversation. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Today's animal spirits talker book is brought to you by New Age Alpha.

0:03.3

Go to NewAgeAlpha.com to learn about the human factor.

0:07.8

Welcome to Animal Spirits, a show about markets, life, and investing.

0:12.5

Join Michael Batnik and Ben Carlson as they talk about what they're reading, writing, and watching.

0:18.8

Michael Batnik and Ben Carlson work for Ritholds Wealth Management.

0:22.3

All opinions expressed by Michael and Ben or any podcast guests are solely their own opinions

0:26.8

and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholds Wealth Management.

0:29.6

This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon for investment

0:33.9

decisions. Clients of Ritholds Wealth Management may maintain positions in the securities

0:37.9

discussed in this podcast. Michael, you wrote about five years ago, which

0:44.0

credit to you, you've been blogging for at least five years. That's pretty impressive.

0:46.9

Thank you. You wrote 10 things investors can learn from the horse track.

0:51.2

And this is based on a SI by Michael Moulbeson. And it's all about setting odds at the

0:58.3

horse track. And one of the things that we always talk about, I think one of the conundrums when

1:02.4

investing is people always say think in terms of probabilities, not in certainties. So it's not

1:08.0

zero percent or 100 percent. It's put some odds on something. The problem is investing in the

1:13.9

markets is not technically like the casino. You don't know the odds when you come to the table.

1:18.5

So actually I didn't correct you. Christ on value is where I got this stuff.

1:23.2

Michael Moulbeson wrote about it. I found it that way. So anyway, it's this guy,

1:27.7

Christ. I guess it's an essay by a sports handicap. And in sports, when you're betting,

1:33.8

you see the odds, whether it's basketball horse betting, fighting whatever. You don't really see

1:38.5

that in the stock market. But in terms of betting, this guy, Christ said even a horse with a very

...

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