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🗓️ 11 June 2021
⏱️ 54 minutes
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0:00.0 | I'd like to thank Indeed for supporting the 700th episode of the |
0:14.2 | Peter Shiff Show podcast. Indeed is the job site that makes hiring as easy as 1, 2, 3. |
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0:29.4 | right now with a free $75 sponsored job credit to upgrade your job post at Indeed.com slash |
0:37.6 | Peter. The offers valid through June 30 terms and conditions do apply. Well, earlier this |
0:45.6 | morning, we got the government release of its official inflation report card, the CPI index. |
0:54.9 | Of course, the CPI is highly rigged in that it was reversed engineered to mask inflation |
1:03.3 | rather than to honestly report it. So it doesn't really tell the whole story, but even half |
1:09.7 | the story is pretty bad. And let's get to the numbers. First of all, remember, we got |
1:15.6 | a really bad number last month. We were up 0.8 for the headline and up 0.9 for the core. |
1:25.7 | So those are some very big numbers, much bigger than people were expecting. In fact, the |
1:33.8 | prior four numbers that we got so far this year, January, February, March and April, all |
1:40.3 | four of those inflation numbers beat expectations. And the street continues the numbers that we |
1:48.4 | got today, not only beat expectations, but they beat the crap out of expectations on a percentage |
1:55.3 | basis. So the expectation for the increase in headline CPI was 0.4. The actual increase was |
2:04.8 | 0.6 and that matched the upper range of expectations, which stretched from a low of 0.3 to a high |
2:14.2 | of 0.6. So 50% above what had been expected. Now, the only thing that maybe you could try to |
2:23.2 | hang your hat on, but I wouldn't do that is the fact that this is the first month of the year |
2:28.7 | where sequentially the increase in the CPI is lower than the previous month. Because in January, |
2:36.4 | we were up 0.3, February 0.4, March 0.6, April 0.8, and now we're back down to 0.6, which is still a |
2:46.3 | very big number. I don't think it's the beginning of a downward trend where we're now going to have |
2:51.4 | sequentially lower numbers. I think obviously we couldn't be up every single month. So we're going to |
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