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More or Less: Behind the Stats

Subitising and simplifying: how to better explain numbers

More or Less: Behind the Stats

BBC

Business, Mathematics, Science, News Commentary, News

4.63.5K Ratings

🗓️ 15 April 2022

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Have you ever looked at a numerical claim and thought ‘what on earth does that mean?’ Complex numbers are often badly communicated, making it difficult for the public to appreciate what they signify - but dial things down too much and you’re at risk of oversimplifying important issues. It’s a tightrope walk authors Chip Heath and Karla Starr have explored in their new book ‘Making Numbers Count’. Tim Harford talks to them about how we can improve the way we communicate numbers to the general public. Producer: Lizzy McNeill (Image: Child in front of numbers, Credit: Getty Images)

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello and welcome to a more or less on the BBC World Service with a programme that's

0:10.5

driven by data and nourished by numbers, and I'm Tim Halfard.

0:15.1

Here at more or less we often start with the question, is that a big number? And often

0:20.4

the answer isn't quite what it first appears to be. This is largely because many numbers

0:25.4

like many of us were as teenagers, suffering from poor communication and widely misunderstood,

0:31.4

also odd or square. Now we're happy to shout about numbers and their

0:36.0

meaning until our tiny lungs burst, or at least until our allotted eight minutes and

0:40.3

59 seconds have passed. Luckily there are others who feel the same way.

0:45.6

Two such people are Carla Star, a science writer and Chip Heath, a meritor's professor

0:50.9

at Stanford University's Business School. Together they've written a book, Making

0:55.4

Numbers Count, all about how to better communicate numbers to the general public. We started

1:01.4

with a lovely little word you might not have heard of, subitise.

1:05.8

Subitising is being able to look at one, two, three, maybe four and just instinctively

1:10.8

know what quantity that is without any prior knowledge of math. It's just something

1:17.4

I think we all seem to be born with. And how big does a number have to get before we

1:21.9

can't subitise it anymore? The borderline seems to be four, but

1:25.8

if anything five or beyond and we are in counting mode, we are no longer in subitising mode

1:31.1

and so for that it takes that much more cognitive effort for us to be able to understand it.

1:35.3

So the bar is actually very low. This is unfortunate, as numbers are all around us, even more

1:40.9

so during the Covid pandemic. If we've learnt anything here on more or less over the

1:45.3

past couple of years, it's that numbers really influence our lives and also that they

1:50.4

can confuse the heck out of us.

...

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