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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Stocks Follow Bonds Into the Slaughterhouse

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Business, Business News, News, Investing

4.21K Ratings

🗓️ 21 May 2018

⏱️ 31 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

DB-Feb25,2021: Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison welcomes James Bianco, president of Bianco Research, to the Daily Briefing to make sense of the massive rout in long-dated Treasury bonds that is perturbing every aspect of the market—from high-flying growth names like Tesla to gold to Treasury inflation-protected securities (TIPS). Bianco connects bond market indigestion to that lingering question around inflation, and hazards that industrials and financials will fare the best on a relative basis. Bianco and Harrison look at the Fed Fund futures, which indicate that the market is pricing in a rate hike. They also discuss the outflows out of the series of ARK innovation ETFs. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Do you know the number one obstacle to financial success? Time or lack of it.

0:08.0

Without enough time you can't learn efficiently, plan effectively, or focus on the right strategies.

0:14.9

That's why Real Vision offers you a simple and efficient way to gain expert knowledge, use time-saving

0:20.6

market tools, and leverage the brain power of our community to help you succeed faster.

0:26.7

Get a taste of financial freedom with our free offer at realvision.com forward slash free. A bond market meltdown today followed also by a stock market meltdown, and Arc Invest with some serious

0:56.7

redemptions going forward.

0:58.5

I'm talking to Jim Bianco, founder and president of Bianco Research LLC in Chicago.

1:06.0

Jim, welcome back to Real Vision.

1:09.1

Thanks for having me.

1:10.6

So you saw what I was talking about. There are a number of different things that we can talk to

1:16.0

What's on my mind is because of those three is you know bond stocks and I would say

1:25.3

Turbochart, which is what ARC Invest is all about. Talk to me about how you're looking at the carnage today, both in terms of just the here and now

1:36.1

and your macro view.

1:38.8

So let's start with the bond market.

1:41.0

And you're right, it was carnage today carnage today was a 24 basis point range from

1:45.7

137 to 161 in the 10-year note. We haven't seen anything like that since the height of

1:50.9

the pandemic crisis in March of last year.

1:53.3

So it was an extraordinary day in the bond market.

1:56.0

And add to that, we had a seven-year auction,

1:58.9

which might have been the worst seven-year auction

2:01.9

that the Treasury's ever had. The bid to cover ratio was the lowest on record.

2:06.5

Now the data goes back to 2009 when they started the new seven year. The tail of 4.4 basis points was the worst ever.

...

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