The Packers need a cornerback, but history tells us that might be the worst position to draft for them at 52.

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about the kinds of defensive tackles I think fit and don't fit what Jonathan Gannon wants

from this defense.

Why I think it is a mistake to target offensive linemen in the top 100 unless you're just blown away by someone.

But let's start with this question of corner in particular.

Because I am, as you may know, obsessed with the idea of historical hit rates.

And I believe that teams struggle, teams make mistakes when they are overconfident in their

ability to evaluate players, to discern the difference between cornerback four and

cornerback six, wide receiver two and wide receiver five. Historically, teams are not great

at parsing these things. Otherwise, all the best players would go in the first round, all the

next best players would go in the second and third and so on. And that is not the case.

But there are clear patterns about where teams, and this is league-wide trends,

that they would be small sample theater to just isolate the Packers. But the league-wide trends say you can actually be more confident in your evaluations at certain

positions. Teams tend to be better at certain positions. Unfortunately for the Packers,

Corner is not one of them. Corner is in fact,

the league, ironically, is very good

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