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Hack It Out Golf

SMS - 75 Yards in FW, Double Bogey or Worse, Scratch, 10, and 20 Index

Hack It Out Golf

Golf Swing Productions by Mark Crossfield Greg Chalmers and Lou Stagner

Sports, Education, Golf

4.7267 Ratings

🗓️ 9 August 2025

⏱️ 13 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Welcome to the "Saturday Morning Golf Stat" from the Hack it Out Golf Podcast. In today's episode, our hypothetical golfer is in a lovely position: in the fairway, hitting his second into a par 4 from 75 yards. How often will the unthinkable—double bogey or worse—happen for scratch, 10, and 20 index golfers? Greg and Mark register their guesses, Lou gives the answer, and helpful advice for minimizing those big numbers from a variety of distances follows. Each of these will be a mini-episode (10-15 minutes long) about an interesting golf stat. We will discuss what you can learn, and most importantly, how you can apply this on the golf course to lower your scores and lower your handicap. Listen on your drive to the golf course or over your Saturday morning coffee! Data is sourced from Arccos Golf. They have over 1 BILLION shots in their database.  Check them out at: https://www.arccosgolf.com/  Use code MARK15 for 15% off! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Saturday stat time. Greg is desperate for a win. Lou is even more desperate for a win because he's on Greg's team, which seems mighty unfair. But it is what it is when you're as good at stats as I am off the cuff, live, not live, looked up, not looked up, whatever Lou wants to make up. I get, you know, you get haters when you're this good is the problem.

0:22.0

You know what's funny what you're doing right now?

0:24.4

The very reason why Lou Barracks for me and people might,

0:27.8

is that little thing you just did up there.

0:32.9

As I'm not here to make friends, I've said that.

0:36.1

No, no, no.

0:39.2

We're aware.

0:40.5

We are aware.

0:47.1

What have you got for us today, Lou, which is heavily sided towards Greg?

0:48.3

It is.

0:49.7

Everything's sided towards Greg.

0:51.9

So you're on a par four, a shorter par four.

0:53.5

Your drives ended in the fairway.

0:55.3

You have 75 yards to the whole. Good drive then. Yeah, good drive. Yeah. What are your, and you're in the

1:00.7

fairway again, what are your chances of making double bogey or worse? This is for a scratch player,

1:07.8

a 10 index, and a 20 index. So you've just positioned yourself beautifully on this bar

1:13.7

for 75 yards in the fairway. Love it. How often you're going to make double or worse? Mark,

1:19.8

you get to get, and you know what, this is a tough one. This is a tough one. And we've had plenty of

1:23.7

tough ones in the past where I thought, you know, they're not going to get anywhere

1:27.9

close. And there's been many occasions where you both have done very well on these hard

1:33.1

ones and you've surprised me. So both of us have done well. Both of you have done well. So me included

1:38.4

did well. Yes. Thanks, Dad. Take the win. All right, Mark, because you are. Is it the best of three, sir? Best of three, and you are three on the trot at the moment here. Okay. I'm not confident with my answers. This is a tough one. This is just not a way that most of us think about golf. We would be thinking, let's not even put double bogey in our head, so we wouldn't want to even know that number. Best of three, by the way. Let's confirm that so you don't. Yeah, best of three. Three percent. They got a three percent chance from 75 yards in the fair way of making double bogey worse is my guess. Okay. Greggy? 1.9% for scratch for me. Oh Oh yeah, you're all right down there.

...

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