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Top Traders Unplugged

SI94: Markets to avoid in Systematic Investing and David Harding interview ft. Moritz Seibert

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8670 Ratings

🗓️ 29 June 2020

⏱️ 44 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In today’s episode, we discuss David Harding's interview from 2013 with the SEC Historical Society, possible mistakes to avoid in Systematic Investing, if there are any differences between market confidence and the strength of a Trend, thoughts on Excel vs Python, and the importance of preserving capital during bad periods. We also answer your questions, including: Does the rise of Volatility trading have any effect on the effectiveness of Trend Following strategies? How is trend strength calculated? If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here. Learn more about the Trend Barometer here. IT's TRUE - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here. And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here. Send your questions to [email protected] Follow Niels & Moritz on Twitter: @TopTradersLive, and @MoritzSeibert, And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast. Episode Summary 0:00 - Intro 1:27 - Weekly review of returns 7:38 - David Harding interview with the SEC 14:44 - Richard Dennis quotes 15:57 - Hedge Nordic magazine article featuring Niels & Rob Carver 18:44 - Question One; Brian: Does the rise of Volatility Trading affect Trend Following strategies? 33:48 - Question Two; Brian: How is Trend Strength calculated? 41:37 - Performance recap Subscribe on:

Transcript

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0:00.0

You're about to join Jerry Parker, Maritz Siebert, and Nealz Kostrup Larson on their raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy.

0:15.1

Welcome to the Systematic Investor podcast series.

0:22.8

Welcome and welcome back to this week's edition of the systematic investor series with

0:27.0

Moritz Siebert and I, Neil's Castleblaston, where we each week take the pulse of the global

0:31.2

market through the lens of a rules-based investor. And for long-time listeners, our conversations

0:36.1

are intended to keep you focused and inspired

0:38.4

to continue your trend-following journey. And if you are new to the show, I'll hope you

0:43.0

that today's episode will trigger your curiosity to check out the back catalog of all the past

0:48.3

episodes that you may have missed. Moritz, how are you doing? How are things where you are?

0:53.9

Things are really fine. It's a relatively sunny Saturday. We've had a bit of a thunderstorm passing over this morning, but it's very clear now, very nice. I'm happy and doing fine, so all good. How are you?

1:07.0

Yes, I'm doing well. I can't believe it's only like 15 hours since we did our last recording.

1:11.6

And of course, this is for this super secret project we're working on.

1:15.6

And we have been incredibly busy this week, I have to say.

1:18.6

Every evening we have been out speaking to some of the most interesting people I think you can find in finance at the moment.

1:24.6

But we will come back to that shortly. Let me stay on

1:28.7

topic. This was a bit of a risk of weak, with weakness in equities, but also in energies. And

1:36.2

this is despite kind of this continued talk about the plans authorities have to keep propping

1:41.3

up the economy. We had a close in the S&P, by the way, below the 200-day moving average.

1:46.0

And as we may know, or as you may know, the 50-day moving average is still below the 200-day moving average,

1:52.0

so it never turned, so to speak.

1:55.0

And the Dow Jones closed yesterday at the lowest level for the entire month of June.

1:59.0

And all of this allowed the bonds to lift themselves up towards the high since early March,

...

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